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Bundesliga

Augsburg logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
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Augsburg
1 - 1
Dortmund

Demirovic (23')
Gouweleeuw (79'), Gumny (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Malen (35')
Haller (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-0 Augsburg
Saturday, December 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 1-1 PSG
Wednesday, December 13 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.5%) and 1-3 (5.23%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
AugsburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
35.11% (-0.44600000000001 -0.45)22.13% (0.039000000000001 0.04)42.75% (0.409 0.41)
Both teams to score 68.34% (-0.271 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.2% (-0.307 -0.31)31.8% (0.31 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.67% (-0.361 -0.36)53.33% (0.364 0.36)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.07% (-0.348 -0.35)18.93% (0.351 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.56% (-0.585 -0.59)50.44% (0.588 0.59)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.29% (0.030000000000001 0.03)15.71% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.22% (0.055 0.05)44.78% (-0.052 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 35.11%
    Borussia Dortmund 42.75%
    Draw 22.13%
AugsburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.62% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-0 @ 4.95% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.12% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.92% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.29% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-3 @ 1.01% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.95% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 35.11%
1-1 @ 9.16% (0.061 0.06)
2-2 @ 7.06% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.97% (0.05 0.05)
3-3 @ 2.42% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 22.13%
1-2 @ 8.48% (0.065 0.06)
0-1 @ 5.5% (0.098 0.1)
1-3 @ 5.23% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.09% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
2-3 @ 4.35% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.14% (0.061 0.06)
1-4 @ 2.42% (0.023 0.02)
2-4 @ 2.02% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-4 @ 1.46% (0.03 0.03)
3-4 @ 1.12% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 42.75%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Dortmund

Augsburg
14.6%
Draw
14.6%
Borussia Dortmund
70.7%
41
Head to Head
May 21, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 33
Augsburg
0-3
Dortmund

Beljo (42'), Gouweleeuw (69'), Demirovic (73')
Uduokhai (38')
Haller (58', 84'), Brandt (90+3')
Can (47'), Adeyemi (69'), Wolf (73')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Dortmund
4-3
Augsburg
Bellingham (29'), Schlotterbeck (42'), Bynoe-Gittens (75'), Reyna (78')
Maier (40'), Demirovic (45+1'), Colina (76')
> Preview
Feb 27, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 24
Augsburg
1-1
Dortmund
Sarenren Bazee (78')
Vargas (19'), Dorsch (47')
Hazard (35')
Bellingham (87')
> Preview
Oct 2, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Dortmund
2-1
Augsburg
Guerreiro (10' pen.), Brandt (51')
Reus (44')
Zeqiri (35')
Gruezo (13'), Oxford (15'), Zeqiri (53')
> Preview
Jan 30, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
Dortmund
3-1
Augsburg
Delaney (26'), Sancho (63'), Uduokhai (75' og.)
Hahn (10')
Iago (20')
> Preview