Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.5%) and 1-3 (5.23%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.