Champions League
Dec 13, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
  • Karim Adeyemi 51' goal
  • Mats Hummels 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marquinhos 45'
  • goal Warren Zaire-Emery 56'

Borussia Dortmund vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Nov 28, 2023 8.00pm
AC Milan 1 - 3 Dortmund

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Nov 28, 2023 8.00pm
PSG 1 - 1 Newcastle

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.73%) and 2-3 (4.99%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result

Borussia Dortmund 32.83% (-1.10)
Draw 20.93% (+0.07)
Paris Saint-Germain 46.25% (+1.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

72.25% (-0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5 73.57% (-0.78)
Under 2.5 26.43% (+0.78)
Over 3.5 53.24% (-1.00)
Under 3.5 46.76% (+1.00)
Over 4.5 33.77% (-0.96)
Under 4.5 66.23% (+0.97)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 82.5% (-0.87)
Under 0.5 17.49% (+0.88)
Over 1.5 52% (-1.55)
Under 1.5 48% (+1.55)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 87.57% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 12.42% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 61.66% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 38.34% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Borussia Dortmund 32.83%
Draw 20.93%
Paris Saint-Germain 46.25%
Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 6.89% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 4.17% (-0.16)
3-1 @ 4% (-0.15)
1-0 @ 3.79% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 3.3% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.92% (-0.08)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.13)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.12)
4-3 @ 1.26% (-0.09)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 32.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.9% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 7.18% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 2.9% (-0.11)
0-0 @ 2.17% (+0.11)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 20.93%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-2 @ 8.24% (+0.19)
1-3 @ 5.73% (+0.14)
2-3 @ 4.99% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.73% (+0.24)
0-1 @ 4.53% (+0.23)
0-3 @ 3.29% (+0.17)
1-4 @ 2.99% (+0.08)
2-4 @ 2.6% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.71% (+0.09)
3-4 @ 1.51% (-0.06)
1-5 @ 1.25% (+0.04)
2-5 @ 1.09% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 46.25%

Head to Head

Champions League
Sep 19, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Municipal Georges Lefevre
  • Kylian Mbappe 49' goal
  • Achraf Hakimi 58' goal
  • yellowcard Nico Schlotterbeck 66'
  • yellowcard Emre Can 67'
  • yellowcard Julian Ryerson 90'
Champions League
Mar 11, 2020 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Neymar 28' goal
  • Juan Bernat 45'+1' goal
  • Juan Bernat 68' yellowcard
  • Neymar 89' yellowcard
  • Angel di Maria 90' yellowcard
  • Marquinhos 90' yellowcard
  • Kylian Mbappe 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Erling Braut Haaland 16'
  • yellowcard Mats Hummels 61'
  • redcard Emre Can 89'
Champions League
Feb 18, 2020 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Axel Witsel 44' yellowcard
  • Erling Braut Haaland 69' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 77' goal
  • yellowcard Idrissa Gueye 54'
  • yellowcard Neymar 59'
  • goal Neymar 75'
  • yellowcard Thomas Meunier 87'
  • yellowcard Marco Verratti 89'