Dortmund logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 13, 2023 at 8pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
PSG logo

Dortmund
1 - 1
PSG

Adeyemi (51')
Hummels (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Borussia Dortmund and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.73%) and 2-3 (4.99%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawParis Saint-Germain
32.83% (-1.094 -1.09)20.93% (0.067999999999998 0.07)46.25% (1.03 1.03)
Both teams to score 72.25% (-0.741 -0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.57% (-0.773 -0.77)26.43% (0.778 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.24% (-0.996 -1)46.76% (1 1)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.5% (-0.86799999999999 -0.87)17.49% (0.872 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52% (-1.541 -1.54)48% (1.545 1.54)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.57% (0.025999999999996 0.03)12.42% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.66% (0.048000000000002 0.05)38.34% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 32.83%
    Paris Saint-Germain 46.25%
    Draw 20.93%
Borussia DortmundDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 6.89% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4.17% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-1 @ 4% (-0.149 -0.15)
1-0 @ 3.79% (0.077 0.08)
2-0 @ 3.3% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.92% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.121 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.118 -0.12)
4-3 @ 1.26% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 32.83%
1-1 @ 7.9% (0.167 0.17)
2-2 @ 7.18% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 2.9% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-0 @ 2.17% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 20.93%
1-2 @ 8.24% (0.181 0.18)
1-3 @ 5.73% (0.131 0.13)
2-3 @ 4.99% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.73% (0.235 0.24)
0-1 @ 4.53% (0.222 0.22)
0-3 @ 3.29% (0.166 0.17)
1-4 @ 2.99% (0.071 0.07)
2-4 @ 2.6% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.71% (0.088 0.09)
3-4 @ 1.51% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-5 @ 1.25% (0.031 0.03)
2-5 @ 1.09% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 46.25%

How you voted: Dortmund vs PSG

Borussia Dortmund
22.3%
Draw
21.3%
Paris Saint-Germain
56.3%
197
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
PSG
2-0
Dortmund
Mbappe (49' pen.), Hakimi (58')

Schlotterbeck (66'), Can (67'), Ryerson (90')
Mar 11, 2020 8pm
Round of 16
PSG
2-0
Dortmund
Feb 18, 2020 8pm
Round of 16
Dortmund
2-1
PSG
rhs 2.0


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