Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Le Havre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 at 12pm UK
Stade Oceane
PSG logo

Le Havre
0 - 2
PSG


Operi (68'), Alioui (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mbappe (23'), Vitinha (89')
Pereira (87')
Donnarumma (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 0-0 Le Havre
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 1-1 Newcastle
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 58.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 19.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.15%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-0 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.

Result
Le HavreDrawParis Saint-Germain
19.34% (0.998 1)22.35% (0.568 0.57)58.32% (-1.567 -1.57)
Both teams to score 52.7% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.13% (-0.968 -0.97)45.87% (0.966 0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.82% (-0.923 -0.92)68.18% (0.92100000000001 0.92)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.31% (0.532 0.53)37.69% (-0.534 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.53% (0.518 0.52)74.46% (-0.51900000000001 -0.52)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.58% (-0.833 -0.83)15.42% (0.831 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.76% (-1.576 -1.58)44.24% (1.575 1.58)
Score Analysis
    Le Havre 19.34%
    Paris Saint-Germain 58.31%
    Draw 22.35%
Le HavreDrawParis Saint-Germain
1-0 @ 5.67% (0.308 0.31)
2-1 @ 5.17% (0.208 0.21)
2-0 @ 2.77% (0.188 0.19)
3-1 @ 1.68% (0.092 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.57% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 19.34%
1-1 @ 10.6% (0.28 0.28)
0-0 @ 5.81% (0.235 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.058000000000001 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.35%
0-1 @ 10.86% (0.13 0.13)
0-2 @ 10.15% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-2 @ 9.91% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 6.33% (-0.3 -0.3)
1-3 @ 6.18% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-4 @ 2.96% (-0.232 -0.23)
1-4 @ 2.89% (-0.182 -0.18)
2-4 @ 1.41% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-5 @ 1.11% (-0.123 -0.12)
1-5 @ 1.08% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 58.31%

How you voted: Le Havre vs PSG

Le Havre
16.7%
Draw
4.8%
Paris Saint-Germain
78.6%
42
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2023 4pm
Club Friendlies
PSG
2-0
Le Havre
Ekitike (53'), Mbappe (90+1')
rhs 2.0


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