Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 52.77%. A win for Reims had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.56%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Reims win was 2-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reims | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 25.28% ( | 21.95% ( | 52.77% |
| Both teams to score 62.41% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.13% ( | 36.87% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.95% ( | 59.05% ( |
| Reims Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.68% ( | 27.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.24% ( | 62.76% ( |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.86% ( | 14.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.21% ( | 41.79% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Reims | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 6.36% 1-0 @ 5.01% ( 2-0 @ 3.25% ( 3-1 @ 2.75% ( 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 3-0 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.81% Total : 25.28% | 1-1 @ 9.8% ( 2-2 @ 6.22% 0-0 @ 3.86% ( 3-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 0.31% Total : 21.95% | 1-2 @ 9.59% 0-1 @ 7.56% ( 0-2 @ 7.39% ( 1-3 @ 6.25% 0-3 @ 4.82% ( 2-3 @ 4.06% ( 1-4 @ 3.06% 0-4 @ 2.36% 2-4 @ 1.99% ( 1-5 @ 1.2% 0-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.58% Total : 52.77% |