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Ligue 1

Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Nov 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Reims

Nantes
0 - 1
Reims


Pierre-Gabriel (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ito (75')
Foket (53'), Busi (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Reims, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions
Last Game: Lens 4-0 Nantes
Saturday, October 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Reims

All competitions
Last Game: Reims 1-0 Lorient
Saturday, October 28 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Nantes win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.

Result
NantesDrawReims
31.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)24.39% (0.0040000000000013 0)44.56% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.29% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.72% (-0.012 -0.01)44.28% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.35% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)66.65% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.87%27.12% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.48% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)62.51% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Reims Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.99% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)20.01% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.8% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)52.2% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 31.05%
    Reims 44.56%
    Draw 24.39%
NantesDrawReims
2-1 @ 7.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 7.08% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 4.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.6%
3-0 @ 2.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 31.05%
1-1 @ 11.39%
2-2 @ 5.98% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.39%
1-2 @ 9.17% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 8.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.03% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 4.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.77% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 3.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.98% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 44.56%

How you voted: Nantes vs Reims

Nantes
30.2%
Draw
28.3%
Reims
41.5%
53
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