Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 61.35%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Monaco had a probability of 19.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.96%) and 3-1 (7.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Monaco win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Monaco |
| 61.35% ( | 19.44% ( | 19.21% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.53% ( | 32.47% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.89% ( | 54.11% ( |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.7% ( | 10.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.29% ( | 33.71% ( |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.08% | 29.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.97% ( | 66.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Monaco |
| 2-1 @ 9.61% 2-0 @ 7.96% 3-1 @ 7.28% ( 1-0 @ 7.01% 3-0 @ 6.03% ( 3-2 @ 4.39% 4-1 @ 4.14% 4-0 @ 3.43% 4-2 @ 2.5% 5-1 @ 1.88% 5-0 @ 1.56% 5-2 @ 1.13% 4-3 @ 1% Other @ 3.44% Total : 61.35% | 1-1 @ 8.45% 2-2 @ 5.8% 0-0 @ 3.08% ( 3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.34% Total : 19.44% | 1-2 @ 5.1% ( 0-1 @ 3.72% 2-3 @ 2.33% 0-2 @ 2.24% ( 1-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.86% Total : 19.21% |