Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 53.2%. A win for Brest had a probability of 23.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Brest |
| 53.2% ( | 23.29% ( | 23.52% |
| Both teams to score 55.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.18% ( | 44.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.83% ( | 67.17% ( |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.19% | 16.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.21% | 46.79% ( |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.96% | 33.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.37% | 69.63% |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Brest |
| 1-0 @ 9.91% 2-1 @ 9.78% 2-0 @ 8.83% 3-1 @ 5.81% ( 3-0 @ 5.25% 3-2 @ 3.22% 4-1 @ 2.59% 4-0 @ 2.34% 4-2 @ 1.44% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.11% Total : 53.2% | 1-1 @ 10.96% 0-0 @ 5.56% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.28% | 0-1 @ 6.15% 1-2 @ 6.07% 0-2 @ 3.41% 1-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.39% Total : 23.52% |