Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15

Dec 9, 2023 at 8pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
2 - 1
Nantes

Barcola (41'), Kolo (83')
Hernandez (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mohamed (55')
Douglas (29'), Duverne (82'), Pierre-Gabriel (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Le Havre 0-2 PSG
Sunday, December 3 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nantes

All competitions

Last Game: Nantes 1-0 Nice
Saturday, December 2 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 74.38%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 9.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.62%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Nantes
74.38% ( 0.01)	15.73% ( -0)	9.88% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 50.39% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.84% (

-0.01)

36.16% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.72% (

-0.01)

58.27% (

0.01)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.72% (

8.27% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.1% (

28.89%

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.94% (

-0.02)

45.06% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.01% (

-0.01)

80.98% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 74.37%

Nantes 9.88%

Draw 15.73%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Nantes
2-0 @ 11.57% 3-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.29% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.67% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.99% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.78% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.99% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.38% 4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.24% 6-1 @ 0.99% 5-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.73% Total : 74.37%	1-1 @ 7.41% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.73% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.68% ( -0) Other @ 0.92% Total : 15.73%	0-1 @ 2.97% 1-2 @ 2.95% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.19% 2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 9.88%