/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fmetlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnanlog.png)
-
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof
3'
-
Simon Elisor
28'
-
Joel Asoro
85'
-
Moses Simon
12'
Metz vs Nantes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F37%2Fmetz.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.
Result
Metz
44.96%
▼
(-0.09)
Draw
27.03%
▲
(+0.06)
Nantes
28%
▲
(+0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
48.21%
▼
(-0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5
43.41%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 2.5
56.58%
▲
(+0.17)
Over 3.5
22.43%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 3.5
77.56%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 4.5
9.77%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 4.5
90.23%
▲
(+0.08)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5
74.93%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 0.5
25.07%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 1.5
40.25%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 1.5
59.75%
▲
(+0.16)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5
64.34%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
35.66%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
27.57%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
72.43%
▲
(+0.06)
Score analysis
Metz
44.96%
Draw
27.03%
Nantes
28%
Metz
1-0
@
12.36%
▲
(+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.82% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.56% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 44.96%
2-1 @ 8.82% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.56% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 44.96%
Draw
1-1
@
12.75%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.94% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.03%
0-0 @ 8.94% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.03%
Nantes
0-1
@
9.22%
▲
(+0.05)
1-2 @ 6.58% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 28%
1-2 @ 6.58% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 28%
