Bundesliga Gameweek 17
Augsburg
Jan 13, 2024 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT WWK Arena
B. Leverkusen
  • Ruben Vargas 18' yellowcard
  • Iago 19' yellowcard
  • Niklas Dorsch 44' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonas Hofmann 45'+1'
  • goal Exequiel Palacios 90'+4'

Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2023 7.30pm
Stuttgart 3 - 0 Augsburg
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Ermedin Demirovic

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2023 7.30pm
B. Leverkusen 4 - 0 VfL Bochum
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Florian Wirtz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 60.29%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 18.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 0-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result

Augsburg 18.74% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 20.97% ▲ (+0.01)
Bayer Leverkusen 60.29% ▲ (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.28% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.39% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 40.61% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 37% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 63% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 4.5 19.79% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 80.21% ▲ (+0.09)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5 64.75% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 0.5 35.25% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 1.5 27.99% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 1.5 72.01% ▲ (+0.13)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 86.93% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 13.07% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 60.33% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 39.67% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Augsburg 18.74%
Draw 20.97%
Bayer Leverkusen 60.29%
Augsburg
2-1 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 4.81% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 18.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.78% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.19% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.97%
Bayer Leverkusen
1-2 @ 9.95% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 9.54% ▲ (+0.04)
0-1 @ 9.38% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 6.75% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.47% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 60.29%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Augsburg
Feb 3, 2023 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
B. Leverkusen
  • Mergim Berisha 55' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 2
B. Leverkusen
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Augsburg
  • Charles Aranguiz 43' goal
  • Sardar Azmoun 79' yellowcard
  • goal Fredrik Jensen 15'
  • yellowcard Mads Pedersen 35'
  • yellowcard Ermedin Demirovic 42'
  • yellowcard Jeffrey Gouweleeuw 70'
  • yellowcard Elvis Rexhbecaj 75'
  • goal Andre Hahn 82'
  • yellowcard Rafal Gikiewicz 82'
  • yellowcard Maximilian Bauer 89'
Bundesliga Gameweek 20
B. Leverkusen
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Augsburg
  • Karim Bellarabi 6' yellowcard
  • Karim Bellarabi 9' goal
  • Moussa Diaby 24' goal
  • Moussa Diaby 65' goal
  • Moussa Diaby 69' goal
  • Lucas Alario 81' goal
  • yellowcard Mads Pedersen 43'
  • yellowcard Felix Uduokhai 52'
  • goal Arne Maier 62'
Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Augsburg
Aug 28, 2021 2.30pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT
B. Leverkusen
  • Florian Niederlechner 30' goal
  • goal Iago 3' (OG)
  • goal Florian Niederlechner 14' (OG)
  • yellowcard Kerem Demirbay 66'
  • goal Patrik Schick 75'
  • goal Florian Wirtz 81'
Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Augsburg
Feb 21, 2021 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
B. Leverkusen
  • Florian Niederlechner 5' goal
  • Laszlo Benes 49' yellowcard
  • Florian Niederlechner 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Edmond Tapsoba 32'
  • yellowcard Charles Aranguiz 39'
  • yellowcard Moussa Diaby 88'
  • yellowcard Timothy Fosu-Mensah 89'
  • goal Edmond Tapsoba 90'+5'
Bundesliga Gameweek 5
B. Leverkusen
Oct 26, 2020 7.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Augsburg
  • Lucas Alario 16' goal
  • Lucas Alario 74' goal
  • Lucas Alario 78' yellowcard
  • Moussa Diaby 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Raphael Framberger 15'
  • goal Daniel Caligiuri 51'
  • yellowcard Ruben Vargas 77'

Form Data

Stuttgart 3 - 0 Augsburg
Augsburg 1 - 1 Dortmund
Werder Bremen 2 - 0 Augsburg
Augsburg 2 - 1 Frankfurt
Union Berlin 1 - 1 Augsburg
Augsburg 1 - 1 Hoffenheim
B. Leverkusen 4 - 0 VfL Bochum
B. Leverkusen 3 - 0 Frankfurt
B. Leverkusen 5 - 1 Molde
Stuttgart 1 - 1 B. Leverkusen
B. Leverkusen 3 - 1 SC Paderborn
B. Leverkusen 1 - 1 Dortmund