Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 17

Jan 13, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

WWK Arena

Augsburg
0 - 1
B. Leverkusen

Vargas (18'), Iago (19'), Dorsch (44')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Palacios (90+4')
Hofmann (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Stuttgart 3-0 Augsburg
Wednesday, December 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-0 VfL Bochum
Wednesday, December 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 60.29%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 18.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 0-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Augsburg	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
18.74% ( -0.05)	20.97% ( 0.01)	60.29% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 56.28% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.39% (

-0.1)

40.61% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37% (

-0.11)

63% (

0.11)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.75% (

-0.11)

35.25% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.99% (

-0.12)

72.01% (

0.12)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.93% (

-0.02)

13.07% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.33% (

-0.04)

39.67% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Augsburg 18.74%

Bayer Leverkusen 60.29%

Draw 20.97%

Augsburg	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.51% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 18.74%	1-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.97%	1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 6.75% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.47% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.43% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.29% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.4% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 3.45% Total : 60.29%