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Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Dec 20, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
BayArena
VfL Bochum

B. Leverkusen
4 - 0
VfL Bochum

Schick (30' pen., 32', 45+1'), Okoh Boniface (69')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Masovic (39'), Schlotterbeck (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, December 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 81.38%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 6.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 3-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.32%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (2.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawVfL Bochum
81.38% (-0.182 -0.18)11.75% (0.062999999999999 0.06)6.87% (0.115 0.12)
Both teams to score 52.61% (0.441 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.48% (0.181 0.18)26.52% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.11% (0.23099999999999 0.23)46.88% (-0.233 -0.23)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)4.9% (-0.0049000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.34% (0.013999999999996 0.01)19.66% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.32% (0.461 0.46)44.68% (-0.464 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.32% (0.368 0.37)80.68% (-0.372 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 81.38%
    VfL Bochum 6.87%
    Draw 11.75%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawVfL Bochum
3-0 @ 10.01% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 9.95% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-1 @ 8.06% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
4-0 @ 7.55% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
1-0 @ 6.6% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-1 @ 6.08% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 4.56% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-1 @ 3.67% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.05 0.05)
4-2 @ 2.45% (0.038 0.04)
6-0 @ 2.29% (-0.021 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.85% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.48% (0.024 0.02)
7-0 @ 0.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 81.38%
1-1 @ 5.32% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.23% (0.048 0.05)
0-0 @ 2.19% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 11.75%
1-2 @ 2.14% (0.031 0.03)
0-1 @ 1.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 6.87%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs VfL Bochum

Bayer Leverkusen
89.6%
Draw
4.2%
VfL Bochum
6.3%
48
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
VfL Bochum
3-0
B. Leverkusen
Forster (19'), Asano (34'), Stoger (86')
Stoger (21'), Forster (28'), Hofmann (72'), Osterhage (84'), Zoller (89')

Tapsoba (63'), Wirtz (67'), Alonso (68'), Bakker (69'), Diaby (71'), Palacios (89')
Adli (8')
Jan 25, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
B. Leverkusen
2-0
VfL Bochum
Tapsoba (8' pen.), Hlozek (53')
Apr 10, 2022 2.30pm
Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
B. Leverkusen
1-0
VfL Bochum
Adli (4')
Frimpong (30'), Diaby (49'), Adli (87')

Masovic (63'), Soares (90+1')