Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 66.97%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 15.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 3-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a SC Paderborn win it was 1-2 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	SC Paderborn
66.97% ( -0.05)	17.55% ( 0.13)	15.48% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 61.95% (

-0.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.88% (

-0.88)

30.11% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.67% (

-1.07)

51.33% (

1.07)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.64% (

-0.24)

8.36% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.9% (

-0.6)

29.1% (

0.6)

SC Paderborn Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.6% (

-0.69)

32.4% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.08% (

-0.78)

68.91% (

0.78)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 66.97%

SC Paderborn 15.48%

Draw 17.55%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	SC Paderborn
2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.26) 4-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.06) 4-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.05) 6-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.74% Total : 66.97%	1-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.32% Total : 17.55%	1-2 @ 4.27% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.85% Total : 15.48%