DFB-Pokal
Dec 6, 2023 5.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT BayArena
  • Victor Okoh Boniface 12' goal
  • Piero Hincapie 16' yellowcard
  • Exequiel Palacios 28' goal
  • Patrik Schick 87' goal
  • yellowcard Filip Bilbija 45'
  • goal Sebastian Klaas 83'
  • yellowcard David Kinsombi 85'

Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

SC Paderborn

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 66.97%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 15.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 3-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a SC Paderborn win it was 1-2 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result

Bayer Leverkusen 66.97% (-0.05)
Draw 17.55% (+0.14)
SC Paderborn 15.48% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.95% (-0.80)

Goals

Over 2.5 69.88% (-0.89)
Under 2.5 30.11% (+0.89)
Over 3.5 48.67% (-1.07)
Under 3.5 51.33% (+1.07)
Over 4.5 29.53% (-0.97)
Under 4.5 70.47% (+0.97)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 91.64% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 8.36% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 70.9% (-0.60)
Under 1.5 29.1% (+0.60)

SC Paderborn Goals

Over 0.5 67.6% (-0.69)
Under 0.5 32.4% (+0.69)
Over 1.5 31.08% (-0.79)
Under 1.5 68.91% (+0.79)

Score analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 66.97%
Draw 17.55%
SC Paderborn 15.48%
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.4% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 8.34% (+0.23)
3-1 @ 7.78% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 6.9% (+0.11)
1-0 @ 6.72% (+0.26)
4-1 @ 4.83% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 4.38% (-0.10)
4-0 @ 4.28% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 2.72% (-0.10)
5-1 @ 2.4% (-0.07)
5-0 @ 2.13% (-0.02)
5-2 @ 1.35% (-0.07)
4-3 @ 1.02% (-0.06)
Other @ 4.73%
Total : 66.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.57% (+0.16)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 2.71% (+0.14)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 17.55%
SC Paderborn
1-2 @ 4.27% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 3.05% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 1.72% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.6% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 15.48%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Jan 19, 2020 5.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT Benteler-Arena
  • Sebastian Vasiliadis 22' yellowcard
  • Klaus Gjasula 35' yellowcard
  • Dennis Srbeny 51' goal
  • Abdelhamid Sabiri 73' yellowcard
  • Babacar Gueye 76' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin Volland 11'
  • goal Kevin Volland 14'
  • goal Julian Baumgartlinger 36'
  • goal Kai Havertz 75'
  • yellowcard Kai Havertz 90'
DFB-Pokal Gameweek 2
Oct 29, 2019 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lucas Alario 26' goal
  • Mitchell Weiser 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Klaus Gjasula 40'
Bundesliga Gameweek 1
Aug 17, 2019 2.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT BayArena (Leverkusen)
  • Leon Bailey 10' goal
  • Kai Havertz 19' goal
  • Wendell 26' yellowcard
  • Aleksandar Dragovic 62' yellowcard
  • Kevin Volland 69' goal
  • goal Sven Michel 15'
  • goal Streli Mamba 25'
Bundesliga
Mar 8, 2015 4.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Patrick Ziegler 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emir Spahic 36'
  • goal Kyriakos Papadopoulos 73'
  • goal Heung-Min Son 84'
  • goal Heung-Min Son 93'
Bundesliga
Oct 4, 2014 2.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Tin Jedvaj 24' yellowcard
  • Lars Bender 42' goal
  • Lars Bender 44' yellowcard
  • Heung-Min Son 53' yellowcard
  • Karim Bellarabi 90' goal
  • yellowcard Uwe Hunemeier 6'
  • goal Suleyman Koc 20'
  • redcard Marvin Bakalorz 72'
  • yellowcard Daniel Bruckner 80'
  • goal Moritz Stoppelkamp 87'
  • yellowcard Lukas Rupp 93'