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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 17, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
BayArena
Eintracht Frankfurt logo

B. Leverkusen
3 - 0
Frankfurt

Okoh Boniface (14'), Frimpong (51'), Wirtz (57')
Palacios (12')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gotze (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Eintracht Frankfurt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-1 Molde
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-0 Frankfurt
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 61.04%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 18.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 1-0 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Eintracht Frankfurt win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawEintracht Frankfurt
61.04% (0.506 0.51)20.03% (-0.35 -0.35)18.93% (-0.158 -0.16)
Both teams to score 60.05% (0.992 0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.16% (1.423 1.42)35.84% (-1.422 -1.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.07% (1.55 1.55)57.92% (-1.549 -1.55)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.61% (0.571 0.57)11.39% (-0.57 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.87% (1.227 1.23)36.13% (-1.225 -1.22)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.77% (0.687 0.69)32.23% (-0.687 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.28% (0.772 0.77)68.72% (-0.77200000000001 -0.77)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 61.04%
    Eintracht Frankfurt 18.93%
    Draw 20.03%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawEintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.66% (-0.214 -0.21)
1-0 @ 7.97% (-0.386 -0.39)
3-1 @ 7.1% (0.12 0.12)
3-0 @ 6.27% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.02% (0.142 0.14)
4-1 @ 3.86% (0.151 0.15)
4-0 @ 3.41% (0.071 0.07)
4-2 @ 2.19% (0.125 0.13)
5-1 @ 1.68% (0.102 0.1)
5-0 @ 1.48% (0.064 0.06)
5-2 @ 0.95% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 61.04%
1-1 @ 9.03% (-0.261 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.072 0.07)
0-0 @ 3.67% (-0.266 -0.27)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 20.03%
1-2 @ 5.11% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-1 @ 4.16% (-0.219 -0.22)
0-2 @ 2.35% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.066 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.93% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 18.93%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Frankfurt

Bayer Leverkusen
94.4%
Draw
1.9%
Eintracht Frankfurt
3.7%
54
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
B. Leverkusen
3-1
Frankfurt
Adli (10'), Diaby (34'), Azmoun (90+5')
Sow (74')
Oct 15, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Frankfurt
5-1
B. Leverkusen
Kamada (45+5' pen., 72' pen.), Kolo (58'), Lindstrom (65'), Alario (86')
Hincapie (56')
May 2, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 32
B. Leverkusen
2-0
Frankfurt
Paulinho (18'), Schick (51')
Dec 12, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 15
Frankfurt
5-2
B. Leverkusen
Tuta (23'), Lindstrom (30'), N'Dicka (50'), Jakic (66'), Sow (76')
Schick (5', 22')
Frimpong (48'), Aranguiz (55'), Hincapie (61')
Apr 24, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
B. Leverkusen
3-1
Frankfurt
Bailey (70'), Alario (80'), Demirbay (90+1')
Palacios (76')
Silva (90+1')
N'Dicka (87')
rhs 2.0


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