Europa League
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flevlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F11%2Fmollog.png)
-
Patrik Schick
6'
-
Edmond Tapsoba
22'
-
Martin Ellingsen
25'
-
Jonathan Tah
42'
-
Adam Hlozek
60'
-
Adam Hlozek
70'
-
Alex Grimaldo
78'
-
Eric Kitolano
75'
Bayer Leverkusen vs Molde - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F47%2Fxabi-alonso.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 64.29%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Molde had a probability of 17.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.62%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a Molde win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result
Bayer Leverkusen
64.29%
▼
(-0.02)
Draw
18.1%
▲
(+0.01)
Molde
17.6%
▲
(+0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
64.88%
▲
(+0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
71.42%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
28.57%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
50.54%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
49.45%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 4.5
31.24%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
68.76%
▼
(-0.01)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5
91.48%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
8.52%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
70.5%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
29.5%
▲
(+0.01)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5
70.91%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
29.08%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
35%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
65%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Bayer Leverkusen
64.29%
Draw
18.1%
Molde
17.6%
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1
@
9.28%
3-1 @ 7.62% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.51% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.17% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.69% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.43%
4-3 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.72%
Total : 64.29%
3-1 @ 7.62% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.51% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.17% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.69% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.43%
4-3 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.72%
Total : 64.29%
Draw
1-1
@
7.54%
2-2 @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 18.1%
2-2 @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 18.1%
Molde
1-2
@
4.65%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 3.06%
2-3 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 17.6%
0-1 @ 3.06%
2-3 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 17.6%
Head to Head
Europa League
-
Kristian Eriksen
42'
-
Mathias Fjortoft Lovik
67'
-
Emil Breivik
87'
-
Jeremie Frimpong
14'
-
Nathan Tella
18'