Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Dec 14, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
5 - 1
Molde

Schick (6'), Tapsoba (22'), Ellingsen (25' og.), Hlozek (60', 70')
Tah (42'), Grimaldo (78')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Kitolano (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Molde, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Stuttgart 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, December 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Molde

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Molde 1-1 HamKam
Sunday, December 3 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 64.29%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Molde had a probability of 17.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.62%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a Molde win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Molde
64.29% ( -0.01)	18.1% ( 0)	17.6% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 64.88% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.42% (

0.01)

28.57% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.54% (

0.01)

49.45% (

-0.01)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.48% (

-0)

8.52% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.5% (

-0)

29.5% (

Molde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.91% (

0.02)

29.08% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35% (

0.02)

65% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 64.29%

Molde 17.6%

Draw 18.1%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Molde
2-1 @ 9.28% 3-1 @ 7.62% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.51% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.17% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.1% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.71% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.69% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.8% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.9% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.31% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.87% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.43% 4-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) 6-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.77% Total : 64.29%	1-1 @ 7.54% 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.48% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) Other @ 0.42% Total : 18.1%	1-2 @ 4.65% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.06% 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.89% ( 0) Other @ 3.73% Total : 17.6%