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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 28
Nov 12, 2023 at 6.15pm UK
Aker Stadion
Lillestrom

Molde
4 - 0
Lillestrom

Gabrielsen (4' og.), Berisha (11', 23'), Hestad (89')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Skogvold (56')
Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Molde and Lillestrom.

Form, Standings, Stats

Molde

All competitions
Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Hacken 1-3 Molde
Thursday, November 9 at 8pm in Europa League

Lillestrom

All competitions
Last Game: Lillestrom 1-0 Haugesund
Sunday, November 5 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 60.71%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 20.09% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.29%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-2 (5.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.

Result
MoldeDrawLillestrom
60.71% (-0.153 -0.15)19.2% (0.099 0.1)20.09% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 65.45% (-0.295 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.15% (-0.411 -0.41)29.85% (0.412 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.99% (-0.498 -0.5)51.01% (0.497 0.5)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.31% (-0.157 -0.16)9.69% (0.1559 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.7% (-0.366 -0.37)32.3% (0.365 0.37)
Lillestrom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.47% (-0.2 -0.2)27.53% (0.201 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.96% (-0.261 -0.26)63.04% (0.26 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Molde 60.71%
    Lillestrom 20.09%
    Draw 19.2%
MoldeDrawLillestrom
2-1 @ 9.37% (0.037999999999998 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.29% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.27% (0.07 0.07)
1-0 @ 6.23% (0.103 0.1)
3-0 @ 5.65% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.7% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 4.26% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.3% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.75% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.99% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.54% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.28% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-3 @ 1.18% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 60.71%
1-1 @ 8.03% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.67% (0.062 0.06)
3-3 @ 2.02% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 19.2%
1-2 @ 5.18% (0.027 0.03)
0-1 @ 3.44% (0.061 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.22% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 0.95% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 20.09%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 6.15pm
Gameweek 3
Lillestrom
2-1
Molde
Tonnessen (5'), Adams (37')
Breivik (35')
Oct 16, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 26
Lillestrom
0-1
Molde
Hussain (90+6')
Apr 18, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 3
Molde
1-2
Lillestrom
Haugen (79')
Haugan (55'), Hussain (85')
Ogbu (19'), Fridjonsson (90+8')
Edh (30'), Asen (71')
Dec 5, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 29
Molde
3-3
Lillestrom
Wolff Eikrem (64'), Hestad (80'), Omoijuanfo (83')
Bjornbak (86'), Brynhildsen (90+2'), Wolff Eikrem (90+5')
Asen (33'), Edh (47'), Lehne Olsen (89')
Ogbu (63'), Garnas (90+2'), Bakke (90+3'), Edh (90+5')
Jul 18, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 13
Lillestrom
1-1
Molde
Ranger (90+2')
Ogbu (75')
Hussain (42')
Knudtzon (60'), Linde (71')