Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 54.02%. A win for Rosenborg had a probability of 24.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.02%) and 1-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Rosenborg win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.