Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 17
Aug 6, 2023 at 4pm UK
Alfheim Stadion
Lillestrom

Tromso
3 - 1
Lillestrom

Gundersen (66'), Erlien (72' pen.), Paintsil (89')
Gundersen (22')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Garnas (45+1')
Svendsen (24'), Garnas (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Tromso IL and Lillestrom, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tromso IL

All competitions
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 0-2 Tromso
Sunday, July 30 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Lillestrom

All competitions
Last Game: Lillestrom 3-1 HamKam
Sunday, July 30 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Tromso IL had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Tromso IL win was 1-0 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Tromso ILDrawLillestrom
28.69% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)24.81% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)46.5% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.5% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.68% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)47.32% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.46% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)69.54% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Tromso IL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.73% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)30.27% (0.044999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.56% (-0.055 -0.05)66.44% (0.054999999999993 0.05)
Lillestrom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.59% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)20.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.16% (-0.012 -0.01)52.84% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Tromso IL 28.69%
    Lillestrom 46.5%
    Draw 24.81%
Tromso ILDrawLillestrom
1-0 @ 7.38% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 7.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.79% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.76% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 28.69%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.81%
0-1 @ 9.82% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.8% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.94%
0-3 @ 4.13% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.96% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.64% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 46.5%

How you voted: Tromso vs Lillestrom

Tromso IL
50.0%
Draw
29.2%
Lillestrom
20.8%
24
Head to Head
Jul 2, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 12
Lillestrom
0-1
Tromso
Traore (50')
Hjerto-Dahl (87')
> Preview
Aug 7, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 17
Lillestrom
1-1
Tromso
Christiansen (90+4')
Kitolano (36')
Kitolano (90+5')
May 29, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 9
Tromso
2-2
Lillestrom
Kitolano (42'), Ebiye (90+2')
Gundersen (9')
Matthew (60'), Dragsnes (72')
Christiansen (85'), Adams (90')
Sep 25, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 20
Lillestrom
1-2
Tromso
Lehne Olsen (90+1' pen.)
Ogbu (68')
Vesterlund (27'), Mikkelsen (62')
Psyche (71'), Vesterlund (77')
Jun 20, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 7
Tromso
1-2
Lillestrom
Mikkelsen (26')
Lehne Olsen (2', 52')
Ranger (25')