Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 55.61%. A win for Tromso IL had a probability of 23.09% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.74%) and 0-1 (7.59%). The likeliest Tromso IL win was 2-1 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.