Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 15
Jul 23, 2023 at 4pm UK
Alfheim Stadion

Tromso
3 - 1
Brann

Napoleon Romsaas (6', 46'), Yttergard Jenssen (90+3')
Antonsen (72'), Jenssen (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Oyvann (65' og.)
Pallesen Knudsen (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Tromso IL and SK Brann, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tromso IL

All competitions
Last Game: Rosenborg 2-1 Tromso
Sunday, July 16 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

SK Brann

All competitions
Last Game: Brann 1-0 Stromsgodset
Sunday, July 16 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 55.61%. A win for Tromso IL had a probability of 23.09% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.74%) and 0-1 (7.59%). The likeliest Tromso IL win was 2-1 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Tromso ILDrawSK Brann
23.09% (-0.807 -0.81)21.3% (-0.251 -0.25)55.61% (1.055 1.06)
Both teams to score 62.11% (-0.138 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.89% (0.272 0.27)36.11% (-0.274 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.78% (0.3 0.3)58.21% (-0.302 -0.3)
Tromso IL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.39% (-0.496 -0.5)28.61% (0.494 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.59% (-0.625 -0.63)64.41% (0.622 0.62)
SK Brann Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87% (0.40600000000001 0.41)13% (-0.407 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.48% (0.828 0.83)39.52% (-0.83 -0.83)
Score Analysis
    Tromso IL 23.09%
    SK Brann 55.61%
    Draw 21.3%
Tromso ILDrawSK Brann
2-1 @ 5.94% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-0 @ 4.65% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-0 @ 2.91% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.48% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-0 @ 1.22% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 23.09%
1-1 @ 9.5% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-2 @ 6.06% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-0 @ 3.72% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.72% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 21.3%
1-2 @ 9.69% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.74% (0.131 0.13)
0-1 @ 7.59% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.59% (0.121 0.12)
0-3 @ 5.26% (0.167 0.17)
2-3 @ 4.12% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 3.36% (0.112 0.11)
0-4 @ 2.69% (0.125 0.13)
2-4 @ 2.1% (0.042 0.04)
1-5 @ 1.37% (0.065 0.07)
0-5 @ 1.1% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 55.61%

How you voted: Tromso vs Brann

Tromso IL
69.7%
Draw
24.2%
SK Brann
6.1%
33
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 19
Tromso
1-1
Brann
Vesterlund (18')
Psyche (60')
Sery (70')
Pallesen Knudsen (56'), Heltne Nilsen (84')
Pallesen Knudsen (88')
Jul 10, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 12
Brann
1-1
Tromso
Bamba (45+1')
Rasmussen (39'), Bamba (85'), Yakhya Sane (90+5')
Antonsen (18')
Totland (80'), Karlstrom (82'), Antonsen (90+1')
May 29, 2021
5pm
Gameweek 10
Brann  
vs.
  Tromso
Aug 25, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 19
Brann
2-3
Tromso
Bamba (22'), Karadas (89')
Yttergard Jenssen (39'), Berisha (74')
Wormgoor (39' og.), Valakari (56'), Azemi (76')
Kongshavn (11'), Sokol (74')
Apr 28, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 5
Tromso
1-2
Brann
Espejord (66')
Pirinen (31')
Lokberg (52'), Wormgoor (71' pen.)