Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 19
Aug 20, 2023 at 6.15pm UK
Marienlyst Stadion
Lillestrom

Stromsgodset
1 - 2
Lillestrom

Melkersen (87')
Isnes (46'), Kristensen Dahl (81'), Myhra (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ibrahimaj (34'), Lehne Olsen (49')
Edh (45+2')
Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Stromsgodset and Lillestrom.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stromsgodset

All competitions
Last Game: Sarpsborg 1-2 Stromsgodset
Saturday, August 12 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Lillestrom

All competitions
Last Game: Lillestrom 1-3 Viking FK
Sunday, August 13 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 49%. A win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Stromsgodset win was 2-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lillestrom in this match.

Result
StromsgodsetDrawLillestrom
28% (0.438 0.44)23% (0.040000000000003 0.04)49% (-0.483 -0.48)
Both teams to score 61.23% (0.218 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.45% (0.128 0.13)39.54% (-0.135 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.11% (0.134 0.13)61.89% (-0.14 -0.14)
Stromsgodset Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.23% (0.369 0.37)26.77% (-0.375 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.95% (0.48699999999999 0.49)62.05% (-0.49299999999999 -0.49)
Lillestrom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.61% (-0.131 -0.13)16.39% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.97% (-0.23200000000001 -0.23)46.02% (0.225 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Stromsgodset 28%
    Lillestrom 49%
    Draw 22.99%
StromsgodsetDrawLillestrom
2-1 @ 6.89% (0.074 0.07)
1-0 @ 5.78% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.81% (0.057 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.03% (0.064 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.046 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.67% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 1% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.9% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 28%
1-1 @ 10.45%
2-2 @ 6.23% (0.04 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.39% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.99%
1-2 @ 9.46% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-1 @ 7.93% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 7.18% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 5.7% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 4.33% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.76% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.58% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.96% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.7% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-5 @ 0.93% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 49%

Head to Head
Apr 19, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Lillestrom
4-3
Stromsgodset
Garnas (23'), Lehne Olsen (25'), Asen (84'), Adams (90+5')
Ipalibo (32'), Valsvik (39'), Mehnert (76')
Sep 10, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 22
Lillestrom
2-1
Stromsgodset
Asen (13'), Dragsnes (43')
Valsvik (80')
Jun 26, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 11
Stromsgodset
3-0
Lillestrom
Ipalibo (53'), Tokstad (76'), Salvesen (90+7')
Vilsvik (13'), Myhra (81'), Stengel (90+3')

Dragsnes (13'), Garnas (22'), Ogbu (29'), Holst (65')
Asen (83')
Nov 27, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 28
Lillestrom
4-1
Stromsgodset
Lehne Olsen (21', 44', 61'), Dragsnes (45')
Hove (86')
Leifsson (18'), Krasniqi (53'), Fjeld Gulliksen (90')
May 16, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 3
Stromsgodset
3-1
Lillestrom
Mawa (6'), Stengel (17' pen.), Friday (85')
Stengel (63'), Mawa (83'), Maigaard (90+6')
Ogbu (74')
Mogstad Ranger (50')