Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 18
Aug 12, 2023 at 5pm UK
Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg
1 - 2
Stromsgodset

Fardal Opseth (12')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Stengel (63' pen.), Ulland Andersen (83')
Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Sarpsborg 08 and Stromsgodset.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sandefjord 5-1 Sarpsborg
Sunday, August 6 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Stromsgodset 1-3 Valerenga
Saturday, August 5 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 69.14%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 13.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 1-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for a Stromsgodset win it was 1-2 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Sarpsborg 08DrawStromsgodset
69.14% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)17.61% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)13.24% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.2% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.22% (0.049000000000007 0.05)35.78% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.14% (0.053000000000004 0.05)57.85% (-0.055 -0.05)
Sarpsborg 08 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.64% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)9.36% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.47% (0.02000000000001 0.02)31.52% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Stromsgodset Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.9% (0.060000000000002 0.06)39.1% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.18% (0.056000000000001 0.06)75.81% (-0.056000000000012 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Sarpsborg 08 69.14%
    Stromsgodset 13.24%
    Draw 17.61%
Sarpsborg 08DrawStromsgodset
2-0 @ 10.26% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.64%
1-0 @ 8.67% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.11% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.61% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-0 @ 4.8% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-1 @ 4.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.58% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 2.14% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 2.12% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-2 @ 1% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 4.43%
Total : 69.14%
1-1 @ 8.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.66% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 17.61%
1-2 @ 3.82% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 3.44% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.2% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 13.24%

Head to Head
Jul 9, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 13
Stromsgodset
5-2
Sarpsborg
Braut Brunes (4', 11'), Valsvik (23'), Stenevik (60'), Enersen (78')
Mehnert (20')
Torp (6'), Soltvedt (17')
Tibbling (52'), Inge Utvik (58'), Maigaard (66')
Aug 7, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 17
Stromsgodset
3-1
Sarpsborg
Vilsvik (28'), Stengel (40'), Boahene (81')
Ipalibo (24'), Boahene (82'), Stenevik (88')
Torp (58')
Heintz (67'), Jacques Mendy (88')
Jun 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Sarpsborg
5-1
Stromsgodset
Molins (14'), Heintz (18', 90+3'), Saletros (38' pen., 45' pen.)
Horn (12'), Odegaard (75')
Enersen (45+2')
Salvesen (40')
Sep 25, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 20
Stromsgodset
5-0
Sarpsborg
Valsvik (26'), Ipalibo (40'), Fjeld Gulliksen (45+1'), Leifsson (60'), Attah (75')
Enersen (47'), Stenevik (56'), Thor Ingimundarson (89')

Bohinen (20'), Naess (60')
Aug 14, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 15
Sarpsborg
1-0
Stromsgodset
Kone (71')
Lindseth (88')

Gunnarsson (35')