Aalesund
Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 16
Jul 30, 2023 at 4pm UK
Color Line Stadion

Aalesund
1 - 0
Stromsgodset

Martin Kristensen (90+3')
Kitolano (10')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Grogaard (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Aalesund and Stromsgodset, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aalesund

All competitions
Last Game: Viking FK 3-1 Aalesund
Monday, July 24 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Stromsgodset

All competitions
Last Game: Stromsgodset 0-1 Rosenborg
Sunday, July 23 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aalesund win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aalesund win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Stromsgodset win was 0-1 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aalesund in this match.

Result
AalesundDrawStromsgodset
38.63% (0.018000000000001 0.02)26.78% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)34.6% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 51.51% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.43% (0.083999999999996 0.08)53.57% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.92% (0.073 0.07)75.07% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)
Aalesund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.97% (0.052000000000007 0.05)27.02% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.62% (0.065000000000005 0.07)62.38% (-0.061 -0.06)
Stromsgodset Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.58% (0.048000000000002 0.05)29.42% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.58% (0.054000000000002 0.05)65.41% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Aalesund 38.62%
    Stromsgodset 34.6%
    Draw 26.77%
AalesundDrawStromsgodset
1-0 @ 10.4% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.63% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 38.62%
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.95% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 9.73% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.79% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.95% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 34.6%

How you voted: Aalesund vs Stromsgodset

Aalesund
26.9%
Draw
3.8%
Stromsgodset
69.2%
26
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 2
Stromsgodset
1-0
Aalesund
Valsvik (42')
Sep 4, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 21
Stromsgodset
1-2
Aalesund
Valsvik (62')
Ebiye (26', 45+3')
Jul 3, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 12
Aalesund
1-0
Stromsgodset
Haugen (52')

Grogaard (55')
Dec 9, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 29
Aalesund
1-4
Stromsgodset
Karlsbakk (80')
Gronner (39')
Hove (10'), Vilsvik (47'), Salvesen (54'), Tchamba (64')
Tokstad (14')
Jun 28, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 4
Stromsgodset
1-1
Aalesund
Maigaard (88' pen.)
Gunnarsson (53')
Ipalibo (90+6')
Haugen (30')
Steen Saethre (37'), Sno (44'), Haugen (45+2'), Uzochukwu (89')