Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 15
Jul 24, 2023 at 6pm UK
SR-Bank Arena
Aalesund

Viking FK
3 - 1
Aalesund

Brekalo (23'), Tripic (70' pen., 90+4')
Lokberg (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Segberg (40')
Atanga (28'), Karlsbakk (68'), Diop (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Viking FK and Aalesund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Viking FK

All competitions
Last Game: Stabaek 0-1 Viking FK
Sunday, July 16 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Aalesund

All competitions
Last Game: Lillestrom 5-1 Aalesund
Wednesday, July 19 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 66.55%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Aalesund had a probability of 14.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for an Aalesund win it was 1-2 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Viking FK in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Viking FK.

Result
Viking FKDrawAalesund
66.55% (0.89100000000001 0.89)18.7% (-0.578 -0.58)14.76% (-0.31 -0.31)
Both teams to score 55.48% (1.313 1.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.56% (2.092 2.09)37.45% (-2.088 -2.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.33% (2.215 2.22)59.67% (-2.209 -2.21)
Viking FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.57% (0.824 0.82)10.44% (-0.82 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.98% (1.826 1.83)34.02% (-1.822 -1.82)
Aalesund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.95% (0.908 0.91)38.05% (-0.904 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.18% (0.868 0.87)74.82% (-0.86500000000001 -0.87)
Score Analysis
    Viking FK 66.55%
    Aalesund 14.76%
    Draw 18.7%
Viking FKDrawAalesund
2-0 @ 10.14% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
1-0 @ 8.97% (-0.604 -0.6)
3-0 @ 7.64% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.38% (0.201 0.2)
4-0 @ 4.32% (0.157 0.16)
4-1 @ 4.17% (0.249 0.25)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.182 0.18)
4-2 @ 2.02% (0.167 0.17)
5-0 @ 1.95% (0.134 0.13)
5-1 @ 1.89% (0.172 0.17)
5-2 @ 0.91% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 66.55%
1-1 @ 8.67% (-0.358 -0.36)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.086 0.09)
0-0 @ 3.97% (-0.414 -0.41)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 18.7%
1-2 @ 4.19% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-1 @ 3.84% (-0.297 -0.3)
0-2 @ 1.85% (-0.095 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.35% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 14.76%

How you voted: Viking FK vs Aalesund

Viking FK
93.3%
Draw
6.7%
Aalesund
0.0%
15
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 24
Aalesund
2-1
Viking FK
Rafn (62'), Golubovic (73')
Tripic (57' pen.)
Apr 10, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 2
Viking FK
1-0
Aalesund
Tripic (72')

Nenass (51'), Fallman (56'), Serbecic (89')
Sep 20, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 18
Viking FK
5-2
Aalesund
Bytyqi (5', 73'), Berisha (65' pen.), Daniel Vikstol (76'), Bell (90+2')
Daniel Vikstol (32'), Heggheim (49'), Bytyqi (57'), Ibrahimaj (81')
Bolkan Nordli (26' pen.), Haugen (82' pen.)
Nenass (64'), Haugen (74')
Aug 9, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 13
Aalesund
2-2
Viking FK
Orry Larsen (6'), Castro (80' pen.)
Bizoza (37'), Sno (40')
Berisha (24', 41')
Lokberg (75'), Berisha (78'), Torsteinbo (79'), Bell (85')
Apr 25, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 4
Viking FK
P-P
Aalesund