Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 72.23%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Lillestrom had a probability of 12.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.2%), while for a Lillestrom win it was 1-2 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.