Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 55.35%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 23.89% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7%) and 3-1 (6.7%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.