Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 53.46%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 24.51% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Galatasaray in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Galatasaray.