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UEFA Conference League

Besiktas
Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Vodafone Park (Istanbul)
Lugano

Besiktas
2 - 3
Lugano

Aboubakar (38', 52')
Rosier (43')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Aliseda (81'), Vladi (86'), Bailly (90' og.)
Bottani (43')
Coverage of the Conference League Group Stage clash between Besiktas and Lugano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Besiktas

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Konyaspor 0-2 Besiktas
Sunday, October 1 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Lugano

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Winterthur 2-3 Lugano
Saturday, September 30 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 59.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Lugano had a probability of 19.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Lugano win it was 1-2 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
BesiktasDrawLugano
59.6% (0.009999999999998 0.01)20.77% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)19.63% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.73% (0.0020000000000024 0)38.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.45% (0.0039999999999978 0)60.54% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Besiktas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.46% (0.0040000000000049 0)12.53% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.44% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)38.56% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)32.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)69.53% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Besiktas 59.6%
    Lugano 19.63%
    Draw 20.77%
BesiktasDrawLugano
2-1 @ 9.89%
2-0 @ 8.91% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.58%
3-1 @ 6.85% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.17% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.8%
4-1 @ 3.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 3.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.97% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.48%
5-0 @ 1.33% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 59.6%
1-1 @ 9.52% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.49%
0-0 @ 4.13%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.77%
1-2 @ 5.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 4.58% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 2.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 19.63%

How you voted: Besiktas vs Lugano

Besiktas
88.9%
Draw
7.4%
Lugano
3.7%
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