UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg

Aug 24, 2023 at 6pm UK

KSK Nika

Dynamo Kiev
2 - 3
Besiktas

(Besiktas win 4-2 on aggregate)

Shaparenko (60'), Voloshyn (65')
Dubinchak (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Aboubakar (40' pen.), Colley (63'), Zainutdinov (90+4')
Rosier (79'), Hadziahmetovic (89')

Coverage of the Conference League Playoffs clash between Dynamo Kiev and Besiktas.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.

Result
Dynamo Kiev	Draw	Besiktas
33.02%	26.55%	40.43%

Both teams to score 51.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.08%

52.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.47%

74.53%

Dynamo Kiev Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.88%

30.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.74%

66.26%

Besiktas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.26%

25.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.33%

60.67%

Score Analysis

Dynamo Kiev 33.02%

Besiktas 40.43%

Draw 26.54%

Dynamo Kiev	Draw	Besiktas
1-0 @ 9.3% 2-1 @ 7.58% 2-0 @ 5.58% 3-1 @ 3.03% 3-0 @ 2.23% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.33% Total : 33.02%	1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 7.75% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.54%	0-1 @ 10.52% 1-2 @ 8.57% 0-2 @ 7.14% 1-3 @ 3.88% 0-3 @ 3.23% 2-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.36% Total : 40.43%