FC Winterthur vs Lugano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.