Swiss Super League | Gameweek 3

Aug 5, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Stadion Letzigrund

FC Zurich
3 - 0
Lugano

Afriyie (68', 76'), Okita (80')
Afriyie (71'), Daprela (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Swiss Super League clash between FC Zurich and Lugano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Zurich

All competitions

Last Game: Servette 2-2 FC Zurich
Saturday, July 29 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lugano

All competitions

Last Game: Lugano 1-0 St Gallen
Saturday, July 29 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Zurich would win this match.

Result
FC Zurich	Draw	Lugano
47.74% ( -2.13)	23.87% ( 0.52)	28.38% ( 1.6)

Both teams to score 58.44% (

-0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.65% (

-1.23)

43.35% (

1.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.25% (

-1.22)

65.74% (

1.22)

FC Zurich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.68% (

-1.29)

18.32% (

1.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.59% (

-2.23)

49.4% (

2.23)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.55% (

0.52)

28.45% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.79% (

0.66)

64.21% (

-0.66)

Score Analysis

FC Zurich 47.74%

Lugano 28.39%

Draw 23.86%

FC Zurich	Draw	Lugano
2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.31) 3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.32) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.24) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.22) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.52% Total : 47.74%	1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.28) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.86%	1-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.44) 0-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.33) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.67% Total : 28.39%