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UEFA Conference League

Lugano
Conference League | Group Stage
Sep 21, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio di Cornaredo

Lugano
0 - 0
Bodo/Glimt


Sabbatini (64'), Bislimi (75'), Croci-Torti (79'), Saipi (90')
FT

Saltnes (67')
Coverage of the Conference League Group Stage clash between Lugano and Bodo/Glimt.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions
Last Game: Luzern 3-2 Lugano
Sunday, September 3 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Bodo/Glimt

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Rosenborg 1-1 Bodo/Glimt
Sunday, September 17 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 58.65%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 21.08% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.78%) and 0-1 (7.16%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (5.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
LuganoDrawBodo/Glimt
21.08% (-0.102 -0.1)20.27% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)58.65% (0.118 0.12)
Both teams to score 62.95% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.26% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)33.74% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.43% (-0.064 -0.06)55.57% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (-0.122 -0.12)28.96% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15% (-0.15 -0.15)64.85% (0.14700000000001 0.15)
Bodo/Glimt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.61% (0.010999999999996 0.01)11.38% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.88% (0.030000000000001 0.03)36.12% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Lugano 21.08%
    Bodo/Glimt 58.65%
    Draw 20.27%
LuganoDrawBodo/Glimt
2-1 @ 5.5% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 4.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 2.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.27% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.05% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 21.08%
1-1 @ 8.88% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 5.98% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.3% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 20.27%
1-2 @ 9.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.78% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.16% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 6.99% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.64% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 4.33% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.8% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.06% (0.016 0.02)
2-4 @ 2.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-5 @ 1.65% (0.004 0)
0-5 @ 1.33% (0.008 0.01)
2-5 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-4 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 58.65%

How you voted: Lugano vs Bodo/Glimt

Lugano
17.1%
Draw
25.7%
Bodo/Glimt
57.1%
35