Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 17, 2023 at 7pm UK
UnionplatzHasan Dogan Milli Takimlar Kamp ve Egitim Tesisleri
Besiktas2 - 1Neftchi Baku
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Besiktas and Neftchi Baku.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Karagumruk 0-1 Besiktas
Monday, August 14 at 7pm in Turkish Super Lig
Monday, August 14 at 7pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Neftchi Baku 1-3 Besiktas
Thursday, August 10 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 10 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 76.81%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Neftchi Baku had a probability of 8.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.94%) and 1-0 (10.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.21%), while for a Neftchi Baku win it was 0-1 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Besiktas | Draw | Neftchi Baku |
76.81% ( -0.23) | 15.16% ( 0.13) | 8.03% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 44.09% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
