Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 10, 2023 at 6pm UK
Turk Hava Yollari Futbol Markazi IV meydanca
Neftchi Baku1 - 3Besiktas
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Neftchi Baku and Besiktas.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Neftchi Baku 2-0 Zeljeznicar
Thursday, August 3 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 3 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: KF Tirana 0-2 Besiktas
Thursday, August 3 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 3 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 55.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Neftchi Baku had a probability of 21.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Neftchi Baku win it was 1-0 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
Result | ||
Neftchi Baku | Draw | Besiktas |
21.57% | 22.64% | 55.79% |
Both teams to score 55.27% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.84% | 44.16% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.46% | 66.54% |
Neftchi Baku Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.54% | 34.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.83% | 71.17% |
Besiktas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.33% | 15.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.28% | 44.72% |
Score Analysis |
Neftchi Baku 21.57%
Besiktas 55.79%
Draw 22.63%
Neftchi Baku | Draw | Besiktas |
1-0 @ 5.75% 2-1 @ 5.68% 2-0 @ 3.07% 3-1 @ 2.02% 3-2 @ 1.87% 3-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.09% Total : 21.57% | 1-1 @ 10.66% 0-0 @ 5.4% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.63% | 0-1 @ 10% 1-2 @ 9.88% 0-2 @ 9.27% 1-3 @ 6.1% 0-3 @ 5.73% 2-3 @ 3.25% 1-4 @ 2.83% 0-4 @ 2.65% 2-4 @ 1.51% 1-5 @ 1.05% 0-5 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.53% Total : 55.79% |
How you voted: Neftchi Baku vs Besiktas
Neftchi Baku
8.8%Draw
5.9%Besiktas
85.3%34
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-28 21:11:56
FT
Argentinos Jrs
0-0
Velez Sarsfield
Pens.
(2-4)
Result
Baez
Fritz
Fritz
2 3
6 6
6 6
Result
Griekspoor
Rune
Rune
6 4 6
4 6 3
4 6 3
Result
Humbert
Struff
Struff
5 4
7 6
7 6
Result
Hurkacz
Altmaier
Altmaier
6 77
4 62
4 62
10am
Paul
Cerundolo
Cerundolo
Result
Rublev
Davidovich Fokina
Davidovich Fokina
712 6
610 4
610 4
Result
Seyboth Wild
Alcaraz
Alcaraz
3 3
6 6
6 6
10am
Shapovalov
Zverev
Zverev
Result
Sherif
Rybakina
Rybakina
1 4
6 6
6 6
Result
Krueger
Bejlek
Bejlek
3 1
6 6
6 6
Result
Putintseva
Dolehide
Dolehide
6 6
2 2
2 2
Result
Pavlyuchenkova
Kasatkina
Kasatkina
65 5
77 7
77 7
Result
Vondrousova
Andreeva
Andreeva
5 1
7 6
7 6
Result
Garcia
Paolini
Paolini
3 2
6 6
6 6
Result
Collins
Cristian
Cristian
3 6 6
6 4 1
6 4 1
7.10pm
Montgomery
Sabalenka
Sabalenka
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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