Besiktas
Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 27, 2023 at 7pm UK
UnionplatzHasan Dogan Milli Takimlar Kamp ve Egitim Tesisleri

Besiktas
3 - 1
KF Tirana

Bulut (21'), Muleka (42'), Kilicsoy (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kaina (83')
Doka (36'), Hila (80')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Besiktas and KF Tirana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Besiktas 2-1 Strasbourg
Friday, July 21 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Dinamo Batumi 1-2 KF Tirana
Thursday, July 20 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 74.04%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for KF Tirana had a probability of 9.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.71%) and 3-0 (10.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.78%), while for a KF Tirana win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.

Result
BesiktasDrawKF Tirana
74.04% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)16.36% (0.012 0.01)9.6% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Both teams to score 46.79% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.81% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)40.19% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.44% (-0.058 -0.06)62.55% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Besiktas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.66% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)9.34% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.51% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)31.48% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
KF Tirana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.61% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)48.39% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.48% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)83.51% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Besiktas 74.02%
    KF Tirana 9.6%
    Draw 16.36%
BesiktasDrawKF Tirana
2-0 @ 12.7% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 10.71% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 10.03%
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 7.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 5.95% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-1 @ 4.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.82% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 2.05% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
6-0 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 74.02%
1-1 @ 7.78% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.52% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 16.36%
0-1 @ 3.28% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 2.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 9.6%

How you voted: Besiktas vs KF Tirana

Besiktas
81.8%
Draw
9.1%
KF Tirana
9.1%
11