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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 13, 2023 at 7pm UK
Qendra stervitore Skender Halili

KF Tirana
1 - 1
Dinamo Batumi

Lushkja (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Junior (66')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between KF Tirana and Dinamo Batumi.

Form, Standings, Stats

KF Tirana

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Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 3-2 KF Tirana
Thursday, July 28 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
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Dinamo Batumi

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Last Game: Dinamo Batumi 1-1 Lech Poznan
Thursday, July 28 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Batumi win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for KF Tirana had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Batumi win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest KF Tirana win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
KF TiranaDrawDinamo Batumi
34.18% (0.014000000000003 0.01)27.34% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)38.49% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.68% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.16% (0.066000000000003 0.07)55.85% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.04% (0.052 0.05)76.96% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
KF Tirana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.18% (0.040999999999997 0.04)30.83% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.9% (0.048000000000002 0.05)67.1% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Dinamo Batumi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.82% (0.034999999999997 0.03)28.18% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.12% (0.042999999999999 0.04)63.88% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    KF Tirana 34.17%
    Dinamo Batumi 38.49%
    Draw 27.33%
KF TiranaDrawDinamo Batumi
1-0 @ 10.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.62% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 6.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.99% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 34.17%
1-1 @ 12.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.69% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.33%
0-1 @ 11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.2% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 6.97% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.46% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 38.49%

How you voted: KF Tirana vs Dinamo Batumi

KF Tirana
50.0%
Draw
20.0%
Dinamo Batumi
30.0%
10