Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 37
Jun 3, 2023 at 5pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
Besiktas

Kasimpasa
2 - 5
Besiktas

Kara (62'), Donk (86')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Fernandes (19'), Tosun (30'), Aboubakar (49'), Bingol (79'), Hutchinson (90+13' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kasimpasa and Besiktas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kasimpasa

All competitions
Last Game: Alanyaspor 1-3 Kasimpasa
Tuesday, May 30 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

Besiktas

All competitions
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 1-4 Besiktas
Sunday, May 21 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 49.52%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 2-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.

Result
KasimpasaDrawBesiktas
26.88% (0.653 0.65)23.6% (0.59 0.59)49.52% (-1.235 -1.24)
Both teams to score 58.15% (-1.44 -1.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.81% (-2.176 -2.18)43.19% (2.183 2.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.42% (-2.184 -2.18)65.59% (2.19 2.19)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54% (-0.651 -0.65)29.46% (0.657 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.54% (-0.806 -0.81)65.46% (0.812 0.81)
Besiktas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.44% (-1.265 -1.27)17.56% (1.271 1.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.89% (-2.252 -2.25)48.11% (2.258 2.26)
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 26.88%
    Besiktas 49.52%
    Draw 23.59%
KasimpasaDrawBesiktas
2-1 @ 6.72% (0.125 0.13)
1-0 @ 6.32% (0.482 0.48)
2-0 @ 3.86% (0.229 0.23)
3-1 @ 2.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-0 @ 1.57% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 26.88%
1-1 @ 10.99% (0.4 0.4)
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-0 @ 5.17% (0.481 0.48)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.59%
1-2 @ 9.57% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-1 @ 9% (0.486 0.49)
0-2 @ 7.83% (0.103 0.1)
1-3 @ 5.55% (-0.269 -0.27)
0-3 @ 4.54% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-3 @ 3.39% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-4 @ 2.41% (-0.226 -0.23)
0-4 @ 1.97% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-4 @ 1.47% (-0.168 -0.17)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 49.52%

How you voted: Kasimpasa vs Besiktas

Kasimpasa
11.1%
Draw
0.0%
Besiktas
88.9%
9
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 4pm
gameweek 18
Besiktas
2-1
Kasimpasa
Tosun (28'), Weghorst (45+6')
Engin (69')
Apr 25, 2022 6.30pm
gameweek 34
Besiktas
0-3
Kasimpasa

Souza (22'), Pjanic (35'), Destanoglu (36'), Vida (61'), Montero (68')
Muleka (28', 82'), Ben Ouannes (45+1')
Muleka (36'), Ben Ouannes (45+2'), Spajic (56'), Donk (78'), Aabid (90')
Dec 3, 2021 5pm
gameweek 15
Kasimpasa
1-1
Besiktas
Bozok (82')
Erdogan (59'), Serbest (89'), Travnik (90+3')
Bozdogan (12')
Souza (43'), Larin (66'), Welinton (89')
Apr 4, 2021 5pm
gameweek 32
Kasimpasa
1-0
Besiktas
Kara (19')
Kara (57'), Taskiran (75'), Tosic (83')

Welinton (89')
Dec 4, 2020 4.30pm
gameweek 11
Besiktas
3-0
Kasimpasa
Mensah (45+2'), Hutchinson (69'), Aboubakar (75')
Tokoz (70')

Hadergjonaj (55')