Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 48.91%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alanyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 0-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.