Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 35
May 20, 2023 at 2pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu

Kasimpasa
1 - 0
Istanbulspor

Ozcan (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kasimpasa and Istanbulspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sivasspor 1-2 Kasimpasa
Tuesday, May 16 at 3pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbulspor 0-2 Galatasaray
Tuesday, May 16 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 62.08%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 17.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 1-0 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 1-2 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.

Result
KasimpasaDrawIstanbulspor
62.08% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)20% (0.012 0.01)17.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.08% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.51% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)37.49% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.28% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)59.71% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.39% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)11.6% (0.022 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.4% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)36.59% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Istanbulspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.7% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)34.29% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)70.99% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 62.08%
    Istanbulspor 17.9%
    Draw 20%
KasimpasaDrawIstanbulspor
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 9.23% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.57% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.09% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.63% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-1 @ 3.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.57% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 2.04% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.65% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 62.08%
1-1 @ 9.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 3.98% (0.01 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20%
1-2 @ 4.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 4.26% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 17.9%

How you voted: Kasimpasa vs Istanbulspor

Kasimpasa
100%
Draw
0.0%
Istanbulspor
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Dec 28, 2022 2pm
gameweek 16
Istanbulspor
2-1
Kasimpasa
Ethemi (29'), Kaan Gultekin (78')
Petretta (25')
Tirpan (38')