Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 33
May 6, 2023 at 7pm UK
5 Ocak Fatih Terim Stadyumu
Alanyaspor

Adana Demirspor
4 - 2
Alanyaspor

Ndiaye (18'), Belhanda (45+5', 66'), Sari (56')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Koulouris (11'), Karaca (45+11' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Adana Demirspor and Alanyaspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Adana Demirspor

All competitions
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 5-3 Kayserispor
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

Alanyaspor

All competitions
Last Game: Alanyaspor 1-0 Umraniyespor
Friday, April 28 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adana Demirspor win with a probability of 63.19%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 18.05%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adana Demirspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.96%) and 3-1 (7.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for an Alanyaspor win it was 1-2 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Adana Demirspor would win this match.

Result
Adana DemirsporDrawAlanyaspor
63.19% (0.014000000000003 0.01)18.76% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)18.05% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 63.15% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.88% (0.010000000000005 0.01)31.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.47% (0.009999999999998 0.01)52.53% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Adana Demirspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.53% (0.007000000000005 0.01)9.47% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.2% (0.015000000000001 0.02)31.8% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Alanyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)30.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.59% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)66.41% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Adana Demirspor 63.19%
    Alanyaspor 18.05%
    Draw 18.76%
Adana DemirsporDrawAlanyaspor
2-1 @ 9.52%
2-0 @ 7.96% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 7.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 6.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 6.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 4.47% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-1 @ 4.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 2.63%
5-1 @ 2.08% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 1.74% (0.002 0)
5-2 @ 1.24%
4-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 63.19%
1-1 @ 8.08% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 2.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 18.76%
1-2 @ 4.83% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 3.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 18.05%

How you voted: Adana Demirspor vs Alanyaspor

Adana Demirspor
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Alanyaspor
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2022 5pm
gameweek 14
Alanyaspor
0-0
Adana Demirspor

Belhanda (44')
May 7, 2022 5pm
gameweek 36
Adana Demirspor
1-2
Alanyaspor
Belhanda (32')
Uludag (30'), Cokcalis (60'), Balotelli (61'), Guler (89')
Talha Sanuc (20' og.), Akbaba (76')
Diedhiou (22'), Awaziem (50'), Gunes (65'), Bingol (82')
Dec 18, 2021 4pm
gameweek 17
Alanyaspor
1-3
Adana Demirspor
Diedhiou (30')
Bingol (23'), Awaziem (90')
Vargas (26'), Balotelli (43'), Bjarnason (51')
Balotelli (67')