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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 33
May 6, 2023 at 5pm UK
Antalya Stadyumu
Besiktas

Antalyaspor
1 - 3
Besiktas

Toprak (32')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Aboubakar (54', 89'), Tosun (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Antalyaspor and Besiktas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Antalyaspor

All competitions
Last Game: Karagumruk 0-1 Antalyaspor
Saturday, April 29 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

Besiktas

All competitions
Last Game: Besiktas 3-1 Galatasaray
Sunday, April 30 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Antalyaspor had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Antalyaspor win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.

Result
AntalyasporDrawBesiktas
32.3% (0.157 0.16)25.06% (0.02 0.02)42.64% (-0.18 -0.18)
Both teams to score 56.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.21% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)46.79% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.96% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)69.05% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Antalyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.45% (0.084999999999994 0.08)27.56% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.93% (0.107 0.11)63.08% (-0.111 -0.11)
Besiktas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.08% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)21.92% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.81% (-0.149 -0.15)55.19% (0.146 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Antalyaspor 32.3%
    Besiktas 42.65%
    Draw 25.05%
AntalyasporDrawBesiktas
1-0 @ 7.79% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.62% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.02% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.27% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.16% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 32.3%
1-1 @ 11.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.04% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.05%
0-1 @ 9.17% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.97% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.96% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.54% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.52% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.72% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.34% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 42.65%

How you voted: Antalyaspor vs Besiktas

Antalyaspor
16.7%
Draw
8.3%
Besiktas
75.0%
12
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2023 4pm
gameweek 14
Besiktas
0-0
Antalyaspor

Redmond (57')

Vural (45+3'), Mehmedi (56'), Floranus (86')
Feb 6, 2022 4pm
gameweek 24
Besiktas
0-0
Antalyaspor

Ghezzal (64'), Souza (78'), Rosier (80'), Yalcin (90+1'), Pjanic (90+6')
Pjanic (90+7')

Naldo (34'), Adriano (49'), Sari (89'), Vural (90+1'), Boffin (90+2')
Sep 18, 2021 5pm
gameweek 5
Antalyaspor
2-3
Besiktas
Wright (42'), Sari (45+1')
Yilmaz (49'), Batshuayi (65'), Ghezzal (76')
Topal (18'), Yilmaz (66')
Feb 3, 2021 4pm
gameweek 23
Antalyaspor
1-1
Besiktas
Bayrakdar (39')
Sari (29'), Boffin (36'), Naldo (90+1')
Sari (70')
Vida (73')
Mensah (64')
Sep 19, 2020 5pm
gameweek 2
Besiktas
1-1
Antalyaspor
Larin (33')
Hutchinson (10'), Tokoz (27'), Boyd (62'), Lens (90+1'), Mensah (90+3')
Bayrakdar (85')
Fredy (45+1'), Sari (56'), Mukairu (83'), Orgill (90')