Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 65.74%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 14.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.