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Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Aker Stadion

Molde
5 - 1
Hacken

Gulbrandsen (6'), Wolff Eikrem (27', 55'), Breivik (30'), Bjornbak (90+3')
Wolff Eikrem (45+2')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Sonko (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Molde and Hacken, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Molde

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Brann 3-2 Molde
Saturday, October 21 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Hacken

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Hacken 4-1 Norrkoping
Sunday, October 22 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Hacken had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.72%) and 2-0 (5%). The likeliest Hacken win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.

Result
MoldeDrawHacken
46.22% (-1.764 -1.76)21.25% (-0.236 -0.24)32.54% (2.003 2)
Both teams to score 70.84% (2.071 2.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.82% (2.244 2.24)28.19% (-2.239 -2.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.03% (2.733 2.73)48.97% (-2.729 -2.73)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.9% (0.274 0.27)13.1% (-0.271 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.28% (0.552 0.55)39.72% (-0.548 -0.55)
Hacken Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.52% (2.136 2.14)18.48% (-2.132 -2.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.32% (3.484 3.48)49.69% (-3.48 -3.48)
Score Analysis
    Molde 46.22%
    Hacken 32.54%
    Draw 21.25%
MoldeDrawHacken
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.367 -0.37)
3-1 @ 5.72% (-0.189 -0.19)
2-0 @ 5% (-0.578 -0.58)
1-0 @ 4.92% (-0.625 -0.63)
3-2 @ 4.83% (0.163 0.16)
3-0 @ 3.39% (-0.353 -0.35)
4-1 @ 2.91% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-2 @ 2.46% (0.107 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.72% (-0.161 -0.16)
4-3 @ 1.38% (0.146 0.15)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 46.22%
1-1 @ 8.31% (-0.45 -0.45)
2-2 @ 7.13% (0.171 0.17)
3-3 @ 2.72% (0.262 0.26)
0-0 @ 2.42% (-0.336 -0.34)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 21.25%
1-2 @ 7.01% (0.098 0.1)
0-1 @ 4.09% (-0.265 -0.27)
2-3 @ 4.01% (0.35 0.35)
1-3 @ 3.95% (0.307 0.31)
0-2 @ 3.45% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.94% (0.133 0.13)
2-4 @ 1.69% (0.248 0.25)
1-4 @ 1.67% (0.229 0.23)
3-4 @ 1.15% (0.178 0.18)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 32.54%

How you voted: Molde vs Hacken

Molde
55.8%
Draw
11.5%
Hacken
32.7%
52