Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Jan 24, 2024 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Arena
  • Raphael Guerreiro 46' goal
  • Leroy Sane 74' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Behrens 48'
  • redcard Nenad Bjelica 74'
  • yellowcard Janik Haberer 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Kevin Vogt 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Diogo Leite 90'+5'

Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Last game
Jan 21, 2024 2.30pm
Bayern 0 - 1 Werder Bremen
Goals scored
94
Top scorer
Harry Kane

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Jan 13, 2024 2.30pm
Freiburg 0 - 0 Union Berlin
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Robin Gosens

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 81.33%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 6.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.62%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (2.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result

Bayern Munich 81.33% (+0.03)
Draw 12.07% (-0.02)
Union Berlin 6.6% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.17% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 70.33% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 29.66% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 49.21% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 50.78% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 30.02% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 69.98% (-0.03)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 94.49% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 5.5% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 78.54% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 21.46% (-0.03)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5 52.04% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 47.96% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 16.79% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 83.2% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Bayern Munich 81.31%
Draw 12.07%
Union Berlin 6.6%
Bayern Munich
2-0 @ 11.09%
3-0 @ 10.72%
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.88%
4-0 @ 7.78% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.65% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 5.71% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 4.51% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 3.31% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.01)
6-0 @ 2.18% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.1%
6-1 @ 1.6% (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.22% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.5%
Total : 81.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.62% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.64% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 12.07%
Union Berlin
1-2 @ 2.07% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 1.94% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 6.6%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Feb 26, 2023 4.30pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 31' goal
  • Kingsley Coman 40' goal
  • Jamal Musiala 45'+1' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Sheraldo Becker 12' goal
  • Rani Khedira 87' yellowcard
  • goal Joshua Kimmich 15'
  • yellowcard Joshua Kimmich 26'
  • yellowcard Ryan Gravenberch 72'
Bundesliga Gameweek 27
Mar 19, 2022 5.30pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Kingsley Coman 16' goal
  • Tanguy Kouassi 25' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 45'+1' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 47' goal
  • Jamal Musiala 51' yellowcard
  • Tanguy Kouassi 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Timo Baumgartl 39'
Bundesliga Gameweek 10
Oct 30, 2021 2.30pm
2
5
HT : 1 3
FT
  • Paul Jaeckel 15' yellowcard
  • Niko Giesselmann 43' goal
  • Julian Ryerson 65' goal
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 15'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 23'
  • yellowcard Niklas Sule 30'
  • goal Leroy Sane 35'
  • goal Kingsley Coman 61'
  • goal Thomas Muller 79'
Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Apr 10, 2021 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jamal Musiala 68' goal
  • Bouna Sarr 76' yellowcard
  • Tanguy Kouassi 83' yellowcard
  • goal Marcus Ingvartsen 86'
Bundesliga Gameweek 11
Dec 12, 2020 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Grischa Promel 4' goal
  • Robin Knoche 45' yellowcard
  • Grischa Promel 72' yellowcard
  • Sheraldo Becker 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alphonso Davies 30'
  • yellowcard Serge Gnabry 37'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 67'

Build-up

Match Preview