MX23RW : Friday, March 1 17:56:25| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Jan 24, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Union Berlin logo
Bayern
1 - 0
Union Berlin
Guerreiro (46')
Sane (74'), Kane (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Behrens (48'), Haberer (90+5'), Vogt (90+5'), Leite (90+5')
Bjelica (74')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 Union Berlin

Despite firing blanks on Wednesday, Bayern should return to winning ways in the league against Union, stopping the Iron Ones' two-game run in all competitions without losing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 81.33%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 6.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.62%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (2.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawUnion Berlin
81.33% (0.028999999999996 0.03) 12.07% (-0.016 -0.02) 6.6% (-0.011 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.17% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.33% (0.025999999999996 0.03)29.66% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.21% (0.030000000000001 0.03)50.78% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.49% (0.010999999999996 0.01)5.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.54% (0.027999999999992 0.03)21.46% (-0.026 -0.03)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.04% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)47.96% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.79% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)83.2% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 81.31%
    Union Berlin 6.6%
    Draw 12.07%
Bayern MunichDrawUnion Berlin
2-0 @ 11.09%
3-0 @ 10.72%
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.88%
4-0 @ 7.78% (0.008 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.71% (0.0020000000000007 0)
5-0 @ 4.51% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
5-1 @ 3.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-0 @ 2.18% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 2.1%
6-1 @ 1.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
7-0 @ 0.9% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 81.31%
1-1 @ 5.62% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3% (-0.004 -0)
0-0 @ 2.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 12.07%
1-2 @ 2.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 1.94% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 6.6%

How you voted: Bayern vs Union Berlin

Bayern Munich
81.5%
Draw
10.5%
Union Berlin
8.1%
124
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2023 4.30pm
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Union Berlin
1-1
Bayern
Becker (12')
Khedira (87')
Kimmich (15')
Kimmich (26'), Gravenberch (72')
Mar 19, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 27
Bayern
4-0
Union Berlin
Coman (16'), Kouassi (25'), Lewandowski (45+1' pen., 47')
Musiala (51'), Kouassi (74')

Baumgartl (39')
Oct 30, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Union Berlin
2-5
Bayern
Giesselmann (43'), Ryerson (65')
Jaeckel (15')
Lewandowski (15' pen., 23'), Sane (35'), Coman (61'), Muller (79')
Sule (30')
Apr 10, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Bayern
1-1
Union Berlin
Musiala (68')
Sarr (76'), Kouassi (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen23194059164361
2Bayern MunichBayern23172463263753
3Stuttgart23152652292347
4Borussia DortmundDortmund23118446301641
5RB Leipzig23124749301940
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt2381053630634
7Hoffenheim238694143-230
8Werder Bremen238693235-330
9Freiburg2385103042-1229
10Heidenheim237793340-728
11Augsburg236893341-826
12Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach2367104145-425
13Wolfsburg2367102836-825
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin2374122337-1425
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum2351082846-1825
16FC Koln2338121637-2117
17Mainz 05Mainz2329121837-1915
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt2327142452-2813

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