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Lazio logo
Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Feb 14, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Bayern logo

Lazio
1 - 0
Bayern

Immobile (69' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kimmich (68')
Upamecano (67')

The Match

Match Report

Ciro Immobile fires Lazio to a 1-0 win over 10-man Bayern Munich in the first leg of their Champions League last-16 tie at Stadio Olimpico on Wednesday.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Lazio and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
LazioDrawBayern Munich
29.58% (0.339 0.34) 24.57% (0.127 0.13) 45.85% (-0.465 -0.47)
Both teams to score 56.88% (-0.216 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.23% (-0.38 -0.38)45.77% (0.378 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.91% (-0.362 -0.36)68.08% (0.361 0.36)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.15% (0.042000000000002 0.04)28.85% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.29% (0.052 0.05)64.71% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.94% (-0.352 -0.35)20.06% (0.351 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.72% (-0.569 -0.57)52.28% (0.567 0.57)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 29.58%
    Bayern Munich 45.85%
    Draw 24.56%
LazioDrawBayern Munich
1-0 @ 7.19% (0.124 0.12)
2-1 @ 7.18% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 4.47% (0.082 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.98% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 1.85% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 29.58%
1-1 @ 11.55% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.79% (0.093 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.56%
0-1 @ 9.3% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.28% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 7.47% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.97% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-3 @ 4% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.09% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.61% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 45.85%

How you voted: Lazio vs Bayern

Lazio
11.7%
Draw
15.2%
Bayern Munich
73.1%
427
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2021 8pm
Round of 16
Bayern
2-1
Lazio
Lewandowski (33' pen.), Maxim Choupo-Moting (73')
Goretzka (48')
Parolo (82')
Radu (26'), Acerbi (31'), Milinkovic-Savic (38'), Correa (70')
Feb 23, 2021 8pm
Round of 16
Lazio
1-4
Bayern
Correa (49')
Alberto (28'), Leiva (51'), Correa (57'), Marusic (65'), Escalante (69')
Lewandowski (9'), Musiala (24'), Sane (42'), Acerbi (47' og.)
Kimmich (72'), Coman (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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