The Match
Match Report
Ciro Immobile fires Lazio to a 1-0 win over 10-man Bayern Munich in the first leg of their Champions League last-16 tie at Stadio Olimpico on Wednesday.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Lazio and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cagliari 1-3 Lazio
Saturday, February 10 at 2pm in Serie A
Saturday, February 10 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-0 Bayern
Saturday, February 10 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, February 10 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Bayern Munich |
29.58% ( 0.34) | 24.57% ( 0.13) | 45.85% ( -0.47) |
Both teams to score 56.88% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.23% ( -0.38) | 45.77% ( 0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.91% ( -0.36) | 68.08% ( 0.36) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.15% ( 0.04) | 28.85% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.29% ( 0.05) | 64.71% ( -0.05) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.94% ( -0.35) | 20.06% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.72% ( -0.57) | 52.28% ( 0.57) |
Score Analysis |
Lazio 29.58%
Bayern Munich 45.85%
Draw 24.56%
Lazio | Draw | Bayern Munich |
1-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 29.58% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.28% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.97% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 4% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.9% Total : 45.85% |
How you voted: Lazio vs Bayern
Lazio
11.7%Draw
15.2%Bayern Munich
73.1%427
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2021 8pm
Round of 16
Bayern
2-1
Lazio
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-30 15:01:31
10am
Putintseva
Rybakina
Rybakina
11.30am
Swiatek
Haddad Maia
Haddad Maia
7pm
Keys
Jabeur
Jabeur
10am
Medvedev
Bublik
Bublik
10am
Rublev
Griekspoor
Griekspoor
11.30am
Hurkacz
Fritz
Fritz
1pm
Cerundolo
Zverev
Zverev
2.30pm
Sinner
Khachanov
Khachanov
3pm
Struff
Alcaraz
Alcaraz
4pm
Auger-Aliassime
Ruud
Ruud
8.30pm
Nadal
Lehecka
Lehecka
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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