Supercoppa Italiana | Semi-Finals

Jan 19, 2024 at 7pm UK

KSU Soccer Stadium

Inter Milan
3 - 0
Lazio

Thuram (17'), Calhanoglu (50' pen.), Frattesi (87')
Calhanoglu (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Romagnoli (64'), Vecino (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Supercoppa Italiana clash between Inter Milan and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions

Last Game: Monza 1-5 Inter Milan
Saturday, January 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lazio

All competitions

Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Lecce
Sunday, January 14 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 60.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 16.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Lazio
60.87% ( 0.75)	22.14% ( -0.12)	16.99% ( -0.64)

Both teams to score 49.01% (

-0.87)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.42% (

-0.51)

48.58% (

0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.3% (

-0.47)

70.7% (

0.47)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.5% (

0.08)

15.5% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.61% (

0.14)

44.39% (

-0.14)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58% (

-1.08)

42% (

1.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.56% (

-0.95)

78.44% (

0.95)

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 60.86%

Lazio 16.99%

Draw 22.13%

Inter Milan	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 12.13% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 11.31% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 60.86%	1-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.85% Total : 22.13%	0-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.77% Total : 16.99%