Supercoppa Italiana
Jan 19, 2024 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT KSU Soccer Stadium
  • Marcus Thuram 17' goal
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 50' goal
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 79' yellowcard
  • Davide Frattesi 87' goal
  • yellowcard Alessio Romagnoli 64'
  • yellowcard Matias Vecino 70'

Inter Milan vs Lazio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions

Lazio

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 60.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 16.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result

Inter Milan 60.87% (+0.76)
Draw 22.14% (-0.13)
Lazio 16.99% (-0.64)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.01% (-0.87)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.42% (-0.52)
Under 2.5 48.58% (+0.52)
Over 3.5 29.3% (-0.47)
Under 3.5 70.7% (+0.47)
Over 4.5 14.19% (-0.33)
Under 4.5 85.81% (+0.33)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 84.5% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 15.5% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 55.61% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 44.39% (-0.15)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5 58% (-1.08)
Under 0.5 42% (+1.08)
Over 1.5 21.56% (-0.95)
Under 1.5 78.44% (+0.95)

Score analysis

Inter Milan 60.86%
Draw 22.13%
Lazio 16.99%
Inter Milan
1-0 @ 12.13% (+0.29)
2-0 @ 11.31% (+0.30)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 7.03% (+0.21)
3-1 @ 6.1% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.28% (+0.11)
4-1 @ 2.84% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.09)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.22% (+0.05)
5-1 @ 1.06% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 60.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.52% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 6.51% (+0.14)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.15)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 22.13%
Lazio
0-1 @ 5.65% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 4.57% (-0.17)
0-2 @ 2.45% (-0.10)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.08)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 16.99%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Nicolo Casale 81' yellowcard
  • Manuel Lazzari 86' redcard
  • yellowcard Marcus Thuram 26'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 40'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Barella 61'
  • goal Marcus Thuram 66'
Serie A Gameweek 32
Apr 30, 2023 11.30am
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Lautaro Martinez 77' goal
  • Robin Gosens 83' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 90' goal
  • goal Felipe Anderson 30'
Serie A Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2022 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Felipe Anderson 40' goal
  • Mattia Zaccagni 56' yellowcard
  • Adam Marusic 64' yellowcard
  • Luis Alberto 75' goal
  • Pedro 86' goal
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 51'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Brozovic 84'
Serie A Gameweek 21
Jan 9, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Alessandro Bastoni 30' goal
  • Milan Skriniar 67' goal
  • Arturo Vidal 90' yellowcard
  • goal Ciro Immobile 35'
  • yellowcard Luiz Felipe 40'
  • yellowcard Toma Basic 54'
  • yellowcard Stefan Radu 71'
  • yellowcard Mattia Zaccagni 72'
Serie A Gameweek 8
Oct 16, 2021 5.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Toma Basic 27' yellowcard
  • Ciro Immobile 64' goal
  • Felipe Anderson 81' goal
  • Sergej Milinkovic-Savic 83' yellowcard
  • Felipe Anderson 83' yellowcard
  • Sergej Milinkovic-Savic 90'+1' goal
  • Luiz Felipe 90'+7' redcard
  • goal Ivan Perisic 12'
  • yellowcard Roberto Gagliardini 36'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Bastoni 63'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Martinez 83'
  • yellowcard Denzel Dumfries 83'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Correa 87'
  • yellowcard Matteo Darmian 90'+1'
Serie A Gameweek 22
Feb 14, 2021 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Romelu Lukaku 22' goal
  • Romelu Lukaku 26' yellowcard
  • Romelu Lukaku 45' goal
  • Achraf Hakimi 59' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Martinez 64' goal
  • yellowcard Wesley Hoedt 20'
  • goal Sergej Milinkovic-Savic 61'