Serie A Gameweek 20
Jan 13, 2024 7.45pm
1
5
HT : 0 2
FT U-Power Stadium
  • Andrea Colpani 5' yellowcard
  • Raffaele Palladino 6' redcard
  • Matteo Pessina 69' goal
  • Samuele Birindelli 70' yellowcard
  • goal Hakan Calhanoglu 12'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 14'
  • yellowcard Hakan Calhanoglu 58'
  • goal Hakan Calhanoglu 60'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Pavard 77'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 84'
  • goal Marcus Thuram 88'

Monza vs Inter Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions
Last game
Jan 6, 2024 2.00pm
Frosinone 2 - 3 Monza
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Andrea Colpani

Inter Milan

All competitions
Last game
Jan 6, 2024 11.30am
Inter Milan 2 - 1 Hellas Verona
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Lautaro Martinez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Monza had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result

Monza 27.04% (-0.09)
Draw 25.15% (+0.01)
Inter Milan 47.81% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.16% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.17% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 49.83% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 28.17% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 71.82% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 13.43% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 86.57% (+0.04)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5 67.17% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 32.83% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 30.61% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 69.39% (+0.11)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 79.13% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 20.86% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 46.44% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 53.56% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Monza 27.04%
Draw 25.15%
Inter Milan 47.8%
Monza
1-0 @ 7.63% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.66% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.25% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.47% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.58% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 27.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 6.85% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.15%
Inter Milan
0-1 @ 10.73% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 9.37% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.41% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.89% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.39% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.92% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.72% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 47.8%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 1
Aug 19, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Lautaro Martinez 8' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 32' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Martinez 76' goal
  • yellowcard Luca Caldirola 41'
Serie A Gameweek 30
Apr 15, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • goal Luca Caldirola 78'
Serie A Gameweek 17
Jan 7, 2023 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT U-Power Stadium
  • Patrick Ciurria 11' goal
  • Denzel Dumfries 90'+3' goal
  • goal Matteo Darmian 10'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 22'