MX23RW : Friday, March 1 01:57:26| >> :300:86500:86500:
Milan logo
Atalanta logo
Bologna logo
Cagliari logo
Empoli logo
Fiorentina logo
Frosinone logo
Genoa logo
Hellas Verona logo
Inter logo
Juventus logo
Lazio logo
Lecce logo
Monza
Napoli logo
Roma logo
Salernitana
Sassuolo logo
Torino logo
Udinese logo
Monza
Serie A | Gameweek 15
Dec 10, 2023 at 2pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Genoa logo
Monza
1 - 0
Genoa
Mota (83')
Kiriakopoulos (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vasquez (34'), Frendrup (86')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Monza and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monza 1-2 Juventus
Friday, December 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Genoa
Tuesday, December 5 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Monza 1-0 Genoa

Both sides average around one goal per game, so it may be a tight contest, with Monza capitalising on home advantage and their visitors' weakness when on the road. The hosts have also had more than a week to prepare, while Genoa undertook a midweek Coppa Italia trip down to Rome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 53.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 22.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Monza in this match.

Result
MonzaDrawGenoa
53.05% (0.433 0.43) 24.65% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 22.29% (-0.462 -0.46)
Both teams to score 49.89% (-0.654 -0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.21% (-0.582 -0.58)51.78% (0.583 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.45% (-0.508 -0.51)73.55% (0.50700000000001 0.51)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.52% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)19.48% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.66% (-0.089000000000006 -0.09)51.34% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.96% (-0.771 -0.77)38.04% (0.771 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.19% (-0.751 -0.75)74.81% (0.751 0.75)
Score Analysis
    Monza 53.05%
    Genoa 22.29%
    Draw 24.65%
MonzaDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 12.12% (0.26 0.26)
2-0 @ 9.92% (0.195 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.41% (0.098 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.21% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 53.05%
1-1 @ 11.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.41% (0.171 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 24.65%
0-1 @ 7.16% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.66% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-2 @ 3.46% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.82% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 22.29%

How you voted: Monza vs Genoa

Monza
78.3%
Draw
13.0%
Genoa
8.7%
23
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan26223167125569
2Juventus26176341192257
3AC Milan26165550321853
4Bologna26139439231648
5Atalanta BCAtalanta26144848282046
6Roma26135848321644
7Fiorentina2612593930941
8Napoli26117840301040
9Lazio26124103228440
10Torino269982525036
11Monza269982730-336
12Genoa268992831-333
13Empoli2667132240-1825
14Lecce2659122443-1924
15Udinese2631492540-1523
16FrosinoneFrosinone2665153455-2123
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2648142336-1320
18SassuoloSassuolo2655163254-2220
19CagliariCagliari2648142447-2320
20Salernitana2627172053-3313

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