Serie A | Gameweek 15
Dec 10, 2023 at 2pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Monza1 - 0Genoa
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Monza 1-2 Juventus
Friday, December 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Friday, December 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A
We said: Monza 1-0 Genoa
Both sides average around one goal per game, so it may be a tight contest, with Monza capitalising on home advantage and their visitors' weakness when on the road. The hosts have also had more than a week to prepare, while Genoa undertook a midweek Coppa Italia trip down to Rome. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 53.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 22.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Monza in this match.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Genoa |
53.05% ( 0.43) | 24.65% ( 0.03) | 22.29% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 49.89% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
