Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 56.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 18.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.92%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genoa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Genoa.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 56.44% ( | 25.36% ( | 18.21% ( |
| Both teams to score 42.28% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.2% ( | 58.8% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.69% ( | 79.31% ( |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.11% ( | 20.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.39% ( | 53.61% ( |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.45% ( | 46.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.86% ( | 82.14% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Genoa | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 1-0 @ 15.22% ( 2-0 @ 11.92% ( 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 3-0 @ 6.22% ( 3-1 @ 4.76% ( 4-0 @ 2.44% ( 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 3-2 @ 1.82% ( Other @ 3.08% Total : 56.43% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0-0 @ 9.73% ( 2-2 @ 3.49% ( Other @ 0.5% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 7.44% ( 1-2 @ 4.45% ( 0-2 @ 2.84% ( 1-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.34% Total : 18.21% |