Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 10

Oct 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
1 - 0
Salernitana

Gudmundsson (35')
Malinovskyi (37'), Bani (42'), De Winter (71')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Maggiore (37'), Bradaric (39'), Gyomber (70'), Ikwuemesi (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions

Last Game: Atalanta 2-0 Genoa
Sunday, October 22 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Salernitana

All competitions

Last Game: Salernitana 2-2 Cagliari
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 52.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 22.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genoa in this match.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Salernitana
52.8% ( 0.01)	24.62% ( -0)	22.58% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 50.34% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.63% (

0.01)

51.37% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.81% (

0.01)

73.19% (

-0.01)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.58% (

0.01)

19.42% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.76% (

0.01)

51.24% (

-0.01)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.47% (

-0)

37.53% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.69% (

-0)

74.31% (

Score Analysis

Genoa 52.79%

Salernitana 22.58%

Draw 24.62%

Genoa	Draw	Salernitana
1-0 @ 11.94% 2-0 @ 9.79% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.35% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.19% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.93% Total : 52.79%	1-1 @ 11.7% 0-0 @ 7.29% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.93% Total : 24.62%	0-1 @ 7.14% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.5% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.54% 0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 1.65% Total : 22.58%