Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 39%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 39% | 25.76% | 35.23% |
| Both teams to score 54.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.77% | 49.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.71% | 71.29% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.18% | 24.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.6% | 59.4% |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.06% | 26.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.73% | 62.26% |
| Score Analysis |
| Genoa | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 1-0 @ 9.31% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 6.49% 3-1 @ 3.96% 3-0 @ 3.02% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.05% 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.78% Total : 39% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 6.68% 2-2 @ 5.59% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 8.77% 1-2 @ 8.02% 0-2 @ 5.75% 1-3 @ 3.51% 0-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 2.44% 1-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.09% Total : 35.23% |