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Serie A | Gameweek 38
Aug 2, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Luigi Ferraris
Hellas Verona logo

Genoa
3 - 0
Hellas Verona

Sanabria (13', 25'), Romero (44')
Sanabria (6'), Romero (45+3'), Masiello (49')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Amrabat (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Hellas Verona, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 39%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.

Result
GenoaDrawHellas Verona
39%25.76%35.23%
Both teams to score 54.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.77%49.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.71%71.29%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.18%24.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.6%59.4%
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.06%26.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.73%62.26%
Score Analysis
    Genoa 39%
    Hellas Verona 35.23%
    Draw 25.75%
GenoaDrawHellas Verona
1-0 @ 9.31%
2-1 @ 8.52%
2-0 @ 6.49%
3-1 @ 3.96%
3-0 @ 3.02%
3-2 @ 2.6%
4-1 @ 1.38%
4-0 @ 1.05%
4-2 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 39%
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 6.68%
2-2 @ 5.59%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 8.77%
1-2 @ 8.02%
0-2 @ 5.75%
1-3 @ 3.51%
0-3 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 2.44%
1-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 35.23%