Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 11

Nov 5, 2023 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi

Hellas Verona
1 - 3
Monza

Folorunsho (86')
Faraoni (70')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Colombo (41', 73'), Caldirola (84')
D'Ambrosio (25'), Colombo (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hellas Verona

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Hellas Verona
Tuesday, October 31 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: Monza 1-1 Udinese
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.

Result
Hellas Verona	Draw	Monza
35.53% ( -0)	26.11%	38.36% ( 0)

Both teams to score 53.8% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.31% (

50.69% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.4% (

72.59% (

-0)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.54% (

27.46% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.05% (

62.95% (

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.17% (

25.83% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.2% (

60.8% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Hellas Verona 35.53%

Monza 38.36%

Draw 26.1%

Hellas Verona	Draw	Monza
1-0 @ 9.17% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.02% 2-0 @ 5.93% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.95% Total : 35.53%	1-1 @ 12.4% 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.1%	0-1 @ 9.6% 1-2 @ 8.4% 0-2 @ 6.5% 1-3 @ 3.79% 0-3 @ 2.93% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.43% Total : 38.36%